TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Virtus Bologna vs. Barcelona
kalshi
polymarket

Virtus Bologna vs. Barcelona

Volume:
$237,155

Virtus Bologna vs. Barcelona

 - Polymarket

Virtus Bologna vs. Barcelona - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 26, 2026

Closed: Feb 25, 2:30 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Virtus Bologna vs. Barcelona

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$73,886
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Virtus Bologna

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$64,821
N/A
N/A
$50,251
Settled
Yes
kalshi

FC Barcelona

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$98,448
N/A
N/A
$67,299
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group covers the professional Euroleague basketball matchup between Virtus Bologna and FC Barcelona scheduled for February 25, 2026 at 2:30 PM EST. The markets track the outcome of this single game, with resolution dependent on which team wins or whether the game is postponed or canceled.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's resolution logic is internally contradictory and unresolvable. Both possible game outcomes (Barcelona win and Virtus Bologna win) are mapped to the same resolution state (Yes), making the market incapable of distinguishing between outcomes. Polymarket correctly maps each outcome to a distinct resolution value.Hero tip: Kalshi's market is fundamentally broken and should not be traded. The platform has created a logical impossibility where every possible game result resolves identically. Use Polymarket as the authoritative settlement source, which correctly resolves to either 'Virtus Bologna' or 'Barcelona' based on the actual winner.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Both Barcelona win and Virtus Bologna win resolve to Yes. This creates a tautology where the market always resolves to Yes regardless of which team actually wins. Quote: 'If FC Barcelona wins...then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Virtus Bologna wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: Resolves to the name of the winning team: either 'Virtus Bologna' or 'Barcelona'. Includes explicit handling for postponement (market remains open) and cancellation (50-50 split). Quote: 'If the Virtus Bologna win, the market will resolve to Virtus Bologna. If the Barcelona win, the market will resolve to Barcelona.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.