TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$224,446,576
24H TRANSACTIONS:
531,611,392
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,198,377,813
501,416
Markets across
13,642
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,816
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Virtus Bologna vs. Barcelona
Volume:
$237,155
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the professional Euroleague basketball matchup between Virtus Bologna and FC Barcelona scheduled for February 25, 2026 at 2:30 PM EST. The markets track the outcome of this single game, with resolution dependent on which team wins or whether the game is postponed or canceled.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic is internally contradictory and unresolvable. Both possible game outcomes (Barcelona win and Virtus Bologna win) are mapped to the same resolution state (Yes), making the market incapable of distinguishing between outcomes. Polymarket correctly maps each outcome to a distinct resolution value.Hero Tip:
Kalshi's market is fundamentally broken and should not be traded. The platform has created a logical impossibility where every possible game result resolves identically. Use Polymarket as the authoritative settlement source, which correctly resolves to either 'Virtus Bologna' or 'Barcelona' based on the actual winner.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Both Barcelona win and Virtus Bologna win resolve to Yes. This creates a tautology where the market always resolves to Yes regardless of which team actually wins. Quote: 'If FC Barcelona wins...then the market resolves to Yes' AND 'If Virtus Bologna wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Resolves to the name of the winning team: either 'Virtus Bologna' or 'Barcelona'. Includes explicit handling for postponement (market remains open) and cancellation (50-50 split). Quote: 'If the Virtus Bologna win, the market will resolve to Virtus Bologna. If the Barcelona win, the market will resolve to Barcelona.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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