TOTAL VOLUME:

$147.6b

24H VOL:

$185,329,595

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,799,378,420

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,813,258,821

507,072

Markets across

37,953

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,853

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

38%

VS.

Kalshi:

62%

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Virginia vs SMU
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What is the result of Virginia vs SMU?

Volume:
$2,342,430

SMU

 - Kalshi

SMU - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 17, 2026

Closed: Oct 17, 3:20 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

SMU

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,194,468
N/A
N/A
$782,027
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Virginia

0%
25%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,147,962
N/A
N/A
$513,597
Settled
No
Total markets: 2

Intro

This market tracks whether SMU will win its college football game against Virginia. Currently, the probability of SMU winning on Kalshi is 98.0%, while Virginia winning is at 1.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the Virginia vs SMU college football game originally scheduled for Oct 16, 2026, as reported by Kalshi. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the market resolves to Yes if SMU wins the contest scheduled to conclude on October 16, 2026.

Kalshi

The market resolves to Yes if the specified team wins the game on the scheduled date. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled start, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Virginia vs SMU game tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You’ll find a visual representation of how the market is pricing the likelihood of different outcomes. Currently, the total volume for this market is $2,340,751, with $2,320,527 traded in the last 24 hours. This provides insight into how actively traders are engaging with the potential results of the game, and how sentiment is shifting over time. The dashboard is updated continuously to reflect the latest trading activity.

Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically incorporate a ‘vig’ or commission into their odds, designed to ensure profitability, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, risk assessments, or simply variations in public opinion. If you observe a significant difference between the implied probability on Kalshi and sportsbook odds, it could signal an opportunity for informed trading, or suggest that the market holds information not yet fully priced in by sportsbooks.

This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Virginia vs SMU game, as reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on losing outcomes will not. The specific details regarding payout amounts are determined by the contract prices at the time of resolution.

Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. News regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather forecasts could all impact perceptions of each team’s chances. Unexpected announcements related to team performance or key player availability are also likely to cause movement. Public sentiment, as reflected in polls or analyst predictions, can also play a role, though this market represents a distinct, financially-driven forecast. Monitoring these signals can help traders identify potential opportunities before Oct 17, 2026.