TOTAL VOLUME:
$147.6b
24H VOL:
$185,329,595
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,799,378,420
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,813,258,821
507,072
Markets across
37,953
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,853
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
Closed: Oct 17, 3:20 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether SMU will win its college football game against Virginia. Currently, the probability of SMU winning on Kalshi is 98.0%, while Virginia winning is at 1.0%. The market will resolve based on the outcome of the Virginia vs SMU college football game originally scheduled for Oct 16, 2026, as reported by Kalshi. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the market resolves to Yes if SMU wins the contest scheduled to conclude on October 16, 2026.
The market resolves to Yes if the specified team wins the game on the scheduled date. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled start, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically incorporate a ‘vig’ or commission into their odds, designed to ensure profitability, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, risk assessments, or simply variations in public opinion. If you observe a significant difference between the implied probability on Kalshi and sportsbook odds, it could signal an opportunity for informed trading, or suggest that the market holds information not yet fully priced in by sportsbooks.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Virginia vs SMU game, as reported by a trusted sports data source. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on losing outcomes will not. The specific details regarding payout amounts are determined by the contract prices at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. News regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even weather forecasts could all impact perceptions of each team’s chances. Unexpected announcements related to team performance or key player availability are also likely to cause movement. Public sentiment, as reflected in polls or analyst predictions, can also play a role, though this market represents a distinct, financially-driven forecast. Monitoring these signals can help traders identify potential opportunities before Oct 17, 2026.