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Virginia vs. Florida State
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Virginia vs. Florida State?

Volume:
$2,151,365

Spread -5.5

 - Polymarket

Spread -5.5 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 11, 2026

Closed: Oct 3, 7:18 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Spread -5.5

View
100%
68%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$9,737
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -6.5

View
100%
71%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$7,801
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -4.5

View
100%
65%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$7,633
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -16.5

View
100%
88%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,803
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -3.5

View
100%
63%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,641
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -14.5

View
100%
86%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$3,047
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -7.5

View
100%
76%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$959
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -10.5

View
100%
81%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$698
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 43.5

View
100%
28%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$350
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -13.5

View
100%
86%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$320
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -2.5

View
100%
56%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$275
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -0.5

View
100%
52%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$163
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
100%
54%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$100
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -17.5

View
100%
82%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Florida State O/U 29.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 35.5

View
100%
8%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 37.5

View
100%
17%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 39.5

View
100%
11%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 41.5

View
100%
13%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

2Q Spread -1.5

View
100%
43%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Florida St.

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,047,413
N/A
N/A
$613,993
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Virginia vs. Florida State

View
0%
51%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$256,998
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Virginia

View
0%
53%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$688,924
N/A
N/A
$370,525
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 51.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$28,997
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -2.5

View
0%
46%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20,095
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 217

Intro

This market tracks the likelihood of Florida State exceeding 21.5 total first downs in their upcoming college football game against Virginia. Currently, the consensus probability across Polymarket and Kalshi is 100.0%. Resolution will be based on the final game results as reported by https://www.ncaa.com/. This group covers various markets related to the game, and traders should watch the game itself on October 3rd to see if Florida State achieves the necessary number of first downs.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi only offers a binary market on either team winning, while Polymarket provides a comprehensive suite of markets including spreads and totals.Hero tip: Trade Polymarket markets for more nuanced opportunities. Kalshi's market is redundant and offers limited value.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves based on the final game result, including win/loss/tie, and point differentials. Offers a wide range of markets (spreads, totals, team totals, quarter/half totals). Resolves 50/50 on cancellation.
  • Kalshi: Resolves to 'Yes' if either Virginia or Florida State wins. A binary outcome with no consideration for margin of victory. Resolves 50/50 on cancellation.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming college football game between Virginia and Florida State, scheduled for October 3 at 3:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Virginia" if Virginia win the game. This market will resolve to "Florida State" if Florida State win the game. Overtime is included if played. If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

The market resolves to Yes if either Virginia or Florida St. wins the game as scheduled. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of the originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, the market will resolve to a fair price.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those displayed on this market, often reflect a different kind of information than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while prediction markets are driven by participants directly forecasting the outcome. This can lead to discrepancies, as prediction markets may better aggregate diverse perspectives and react quickly to new information. However, both aim to accurately represent the probability of an event occurring. Experienced bettors often consult both sources to gain a more complete understanding of the potential for the Virginia vs. Florida State game.

Differences in pricing between Polymarket and Kalshi are common and stem from several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has its own user base, trading rules, and liquidity levels, which can influence price discovery. For example, one platform might attract more sophisticated traders or have higher trading volume for this specific market. Additionally, differing interpretations of available information or varying risk appetites among traders can contribute to price divergence. The current volume of $2,151,365 suggests active trading, but the distribution across platforms impacts how quickly prices converge.