TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Virginia Tech Hokies vs. California Golden Bears (W)
polymarket
kalshi

Virginia Tech Hokies vs. California Golden Bears (W)

Volume:
$253,513

Virginia Tech

 - Kalshi

Virginia Tech - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 16, 2026

Virginia Tech at California Winner?

100%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 100¢ buys you 100 shares | Odds: 100% Total Payout: $100 | Net Profit: $0 Multiplier: 1.00x | ROI: 0% | APY: N/A Illiquid market
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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Virginia Tech

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
-$8,871
$159,138
0%
0%
$96,997
N/A
polymarket

Virginia Tech Hokies vs. California Golden Bears (W)

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$92
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
kalshi

California

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
-$21,006
$94,283
0%
0%
$65,121
N/A
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group covers the women's college basketball matchup between Virginia Tech Hokies and California Golden Bears scheduled for February 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET. The markets resolve based on which team wins the game, with provisions for postponement and cancellation scenarios.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's resolution criteria contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (California win and Virginia Tech win) are mapped to the same resolution state (Yes), rendering the market unresolvable and making the outcome predetermined regardless of actual game result.Hero tip: Do not trade on Kalshi's version of this market. The resolution logic is broken—both teams winning resolves to Yes, which violates basic binary market logic. Polymarket's structure is sound. Wait for Kalshi to clarify or correct their terms before engaging.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Binary winner-take-all structure. Virginia Tech win resolves to Virginia Tech Hokies; California win resolves to California Golden Bears. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50. Final score including overtime determines result.
  • Kalshi: Logically contradictory dual-Yes mapping. Both California win and Virginia Tech win are stated to resolve to Yes, creating an impossible scenario where the market always resolves Yes regardless of actual game outcome.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.