TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 5, 4:41 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether over 4.5 goals will be scored in the Villarreal versus Deportivo De La Coruna professional La Liga soccer game. Currently, the probability of over 4.5 goals being scored on Kalshi is 99.0%. Resolution will be determined by the total goals scored in 90 minutes plus stoppage time, as reported by official game statistics. Keep an eye on the match itself, as the market will resolve following the conclusion of the game originally scheduled for September 5, 2026, with final settlement expected by the resolution date of September 6, 2026.
All markets resolve based solely on the total number of goals scored in the Villarreal vs Deportivo De La Coruna professional La Liga soccer game scheduled for Sep 5, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty goals are excluded from consideration. Each market has a different threshold: over 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals. If the actual total exceeds the specified threshold, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds in this market often reflect a more nuanced range of outcomes than traditional sportsbook lines, incorporating real-time trader sentiment and volume-weighted positioning. While sportsbooks may set a single over/under line, Kalshi allows for a probabilistic view across many possible goal totals. Traders can react quickly to news, injuries, or weather changes, which can create divergence from sportsbook prices and offer alternative risk assessments for bettors watching the same match.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders actively set prices through buying and selling contracts for different goal total outcomes. The current top chance reflects the aggregate wisdom of market participants, adjusted for liquidity and recent trading volume. As the match date nears, updated team news or pitch conditions can shift pricing rapidly, allowing the market to price in new information faster than many traditional sportsbook adjustments.
This market resolves around Sep 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score from the official match will determine whether the total goals fall above or below the defined threshold, closing all open contracts on Kalshi based on that verified result.
Key signals that could shift this market include injury updates to star players, weather forecasts affecting pitch conditions, or tactical changes announced by either coaching staff. High-profile performances in recent matches, disciplinary actions, or even early pre-match betting trends on Kalshi can also influence trader sentiment and drive price adjustments as the game approaches.