Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Polymarket and Kalshi both resolve based on the official match outcome after 90 minutes plus stoppage time on March 20, 2026, with identical handling of postponements and cancellations.
Primary resolution logic:
Official La Liga statistics and governing body records, with fallback to credible reporting consensus if official sources unavailable within 2 hours of match conclusion.
Core resolution logic:
Market resolves based on the match result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only (no extra time or penalties).
Villarreal win market resolves YES if Villarreal scores more goals than Real Sociedad, NO otherwise.
Draw market resolves YES if both teams score equal goals, NO if one team wins.
Real Sociedad win market resolves YES if Real Sociedad scores more goals than Villarreal, NO otherwise.
If the match is postponed, all markets remain open until the match is completed.
If the match is canceled with no make-up game, Villarreal win and Real Sociedad win markets resolve NO, and the draw market resolves YES.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Match Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the match is actually played on a later date.
Match Cancellation: If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game scheduled, the Villarreal win and Real Sociedad win markets resolve NO, while the draw market resolves YES.
Late Official Reporting: If official La Liga statistics are not published within 2 hours after match conclusion, resolution may use consensus from credible sports reporting sources.
Timing:
Resolution occurs upon official La Liga announcement of the final match result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, or upon consensus credible reporting if official sources delay beyond 2 hours post-match.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.