TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Villarreal CF vs. Elche CF - Halftime Result
Volume:
$5,567
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the halftime result of a La Liga match between Villarreal CF and Elche CF scheduled for March 8, 2026. Three mutually exclusive outcomes are offered across platforms: Villarreal leading at halftime, Elche leading at halftime, or a draw at halftime. Resolution depends on the score after 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Market structure presentation differs between platforms. Polymarket presents three separate binary markets while Kalshi presents a single market with three mutually exclusive outcomes. Both appear to reference the same underlying event and timing window, but the settlement mechanism and market architecture differ.Hero Tip:
Treat these as logically unified (only one halftime outcome is possible) but operationally distinct. If trading across both platforms, ensure you understand whether you are hedging or doubling exposure. Verify with platform support that halftime score and stoppage time interpretation are identical. Watch for any platform-specific delays in official score confirmation that could create temporary divergence.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: (1) Villarreal leading at halftime resolves Yes if Villarreal wins within 45 min + stoppage, (2) Elche leading at halftime resolves Yes if Elche wins within 45 min + stoppage, (3) Draw at halftime resolves Yes if tied after 45 min + stoppage. Primary source is official governing body statistics within 24 hours; fallback is credible reporting consensus. Cancellation with no makeup resolves all to No.
- Kalshi: Single market with three outcome branches: Elche winner, Villarreal winner, or Tie, each resolving Yes if that outcome occurs at halftime after 45 minutes plus stoppage time in the La Liga match scheduled Mar 8, 2026. No explicit cancellation or fallback source language provided in source data.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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