TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Villarreal CF vs. Elche CF
kalshi
polymarket

Villarreal CF vs. Elche CF

Volume:
$2,691,323

Villarreal CF

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 8, 2026

Closed: Mar 8, 9:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Villarreal CF

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,615,020
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Villarreal

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$500,762
N/A
N/A
$401,205
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Elche CF

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$307,843
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Elche

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$119,295
N/A
N/A
$74,319
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Villarreal CF vs. Elche CF)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$74,427
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$73,977
N/A
N/A
$50,251
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers the La Liga match between Villarreal CF and Elche CF scheduled for March 8, 2026. Markets are offered on three mutually exclusive outcomes: Villarreal win, draw, or Elche win, all evaluated at 90 minutes plus stoppage time (regular play only). The group aggregates resolution logic from Kalshi and Polymarket platforms.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Cancellation scenario creates logical inconsistency in Kalshi's three-market structure. Kalshi resolves all three mutually exclusive outcomes to Yes if match is canceled, which is logically impossible. Polymarket handles cancellation more coherently by resolving win markets to No and draw market to Yes.Hero tip: Monitor for any cancellation announcements closely. If the match is canceled with no makeup game, Kalshi's market design creates an unresolvable state (all three outcomes cannot simultaneously be Yes). Polymarket's approach is more rational but still unusual. Traders should clarify with platform support before match date if cancellation risk is material.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Offers three separate binary markets (Villarreal win, Draw, Elche win), all resolving Yes if their respective outcome occurs. Cancellation clause states all three resolve to Yes if match is canceled entirely with no makeup game. This creates a logical impossibility since outcomes are mutually exclusive. Resolution source: official La Liga statistics.
  • Polymarket: Offers three separate markets with clear cancellation logic: Villarreal win and Elche win markets resolve No if canceled; draw market resolves Yes if canceled. This is more logically coherent but still unusual. Resolution source: La Liga official statistics, with credible reporting consensus as fallback if official data unavailable within 2 hours of match conclusion.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.