TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Villanova Wildcats vs. Texas Tech Red Raiders (W)
Volume:
$380,605
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the WBB game between Villanova Wildcats and Texas Tech Red Raiders on March 20 at 8:30 PM ET. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi resolves YES for both possible outcomes (Villanova win OR Texas Tech win), creating a logical contradiction where the market cannot resolve NO. Polymarket correctly resolves to one of two mutually exclusive outcomes based on which team wins. This is a data integrity failure on Kalshi's platform.Hero Tip:
Do not trade the Kalshi market for this event. Kalshi's resolution rules state the market resolves YES if Villanova wins AND YES if Texas Tech wins — meaning it resolves YES regardless of outcome, making it fundamentally unresolvable as a prediction market. Trade only on Polymarket, which has proper binary logic: Villanova Wildcats (if Villanova wins) or Texas Tech Red Raiders (if Texas Tech wins).Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Contains a logical contradiction. The market resolves YES if Villanova wins the game AND ALSO resolves YES if Texas Tech wins the game, meaning both outcomes map to YES. Key quote: 'If Villanova wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Texas Tech wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Outlier: Correctly implements binary resolution with mutually exclusive outcomes. The market resolves to 'Villanova Wildcats' if Villanova wins or 'Texas Tech Red Raiders' if Texas Tech wins, with explicit handling for postponement (market remains open) and cancellation (50-50 split). Key quote: 'If the Villanova Wildcats win, the market will resolve to Villanova Wildcats. If the Texas Tech Red Raiders win, the market will resolve to Texas Tech Red Raiders.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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