This event group covers the women's college basketball game between Villanova Wildcats and Seton Hall Pirates scheduled for February 26, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Both Polymarket and Kalshi are offering prediction markets on the outcome of this matchup, with resolution based on the final score including overtime.
Kalshi's market logic contains a logical contradiction where both Villanova win and Seton Hall win are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market unresolvable. Polymarket uses standard binary winner-take-all logic.
Hero Tip:
This is a critical data integrity failure on Kalshi. The market cannot function as written because both possible outcomes map to the same resolution (Yes). Before trading, request clarification from Kalshi: does the Villanova win condition actually resolve to No? If not, this market may be mispriced or subject to emergency intervention.
Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket: Binary winner-take-all structure. Villanova victory resolves to Villanova Wildcats; Seton Hall victory resolves to Seton Hall Pirates. Handles postponements by keeping market open; cancellations without makeup resolve 50-50. Resolution based on final score including overtime.
Kalshi: Stated as Yes/Yes structure: both Seton Hall win and Villanova win resolve to Yes. This is logically impossible for a competitive game with two mutually exclusive outcomes. Appears to be a drafting error in market terms.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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