TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the outcome of the women's college basketball game between Villanova Wildcats and Creighton Bluejays scheduled for February 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET at Creighton's venue. Markets across platforms are betting on which team will win the game based on the final score including overtime.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (Villanova win and Creighton win) are specified to resolve to Yes, making the market unresolvable. Polymarket correctly specifies categorical resolution to team names.Hero Tip:
This is a critical data integrity failure on Kalshi. The market cannot function as written because a binary Yes/No market cannot have both outcomes resolve to Yes. Before trading, contact Kalshi support to confirm whether this is a specification error, whether the market is actually two separate contracts, or whether there is a third outcome (tie/cancel) that resolves to No. Polymarket's market is safe to trade.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Binary Yes/No structure with logical contradiction. Both Villanova win and Creighton win specified to resolve to Yes. Quote: 'If Villanova wins...resolves to Yes. If Creighton wins...resolves to Yes.' This violates basic binary logic.Polymarket:
Categorical resolution to team names. Villanova win resolves to 'Villanova Wildcats', Creighton win resolves to 'Creighton Bluejays'. Quote: 'the market will resolve to Villanova Wildcats' or 'Creighton Bluejays'. Includes postponement and cancellation rules (50-50 split if no makeup).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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