TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Villanova Wildcats vs. Creighton Bluejays (W)
kalshi
polymarket

Villanova Wildcats vs. Creighton Bluejays (W)

Volume:
$438,943

Villanova

 - Kalshi

Villanova - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 16, 2026

Villanova at Creighton Winner?

100%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 100¢ buys you 100 shares | Odds: 100% Total Payout: $100 | Net Profit: $0 Multiplier: 1.00x | ROI: 0% | APY: N/A Illiquid market
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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Villanova

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
$4,979
$267,821
0%
0%
$171,359
N/A
polymarket

Villanova Wildcats vs. Creighton Bluejays (W)

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$1,246
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
kalshi

Creighton

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$6,789
$169,876
0%
0%
$120,742
N/A
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group covers the outcome of the women's college basketball game between Villanova Wildcats and Creighton Bluejays scheduled for February 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET at Creighton's venue. Markets across platforms are betting on which team will win the game based on the final score including overtime.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi market contains a logical contradiction where both possible outcomes (Villanova win and Creighton win) are specified to resolve to Yes, making the market unresolvable. Polymarket correctly specifies categorical resolution to team names.Hero tip: This is a critical data integrity failure on Kalshi. The market cannot function as written because a binary Yes/No market cannot have both outcomes resolve to Yes. Before trading, contact Kalshi support to confirm whether this is a specification error, whether the market is actually two separate contracts, or whether there is a third outcome (tie/cancel) that resolves to No. Polymarket's market is safe to trade.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Binary Yes/No structure with logical contradiction. Both Villanova win and Creighton win specified to resolve to Yes. Quote: 'If Villanova wins...resolves to Yes. If Creighton wins...resolves to Yes.' This violates basic binary logic.
  • Polymarket: Categorical resolution to team names. Villanova win resolves to 'Villanova Wildcats', Creighton win resolves to 'Creighton Bluejays'. Quote: 'the market will resolve to Villanova Wildcats' or 'Creighton Bluejays'. Includes postponement and cancellation rules (50-50 split if no makeup).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.