This event group covers a men's college basketball game between Villanova Wildcats and Creighton Bluejays scheduled for February 14, 2026 at 2:30 PM ET at Creighton's venue. Markets span moneyline (winner), point spread (Villanova favored by 2.5 to 3.5 points), and over/under totals (ranging from 144.5 to 147.5 points).
Kalshi's moneyline market contains a logical contradiction where both Villanova and Creighton winning are stated to resolve to Yes, making the market fundamentally unresolvable. Polymarket's moneyline is logically sound with mutually exclusive outcomes.
Hero Tip:
Avoid trading Kalshi's moneyline until the platform corrects the resolution logic. All other markets (spreads and totals) are consistent and resolvable across both platforms. Request clarification from Kalshi support before settlement.
Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi: Moneyline market states both outcomes resolve to Yes: 'If Villanova wins...resolves to Yes' AND 'If Creighton wins...resolves to Yes'. This is logically impossible and creates an unresolvable market.
Polymarket: Moneyline market uses mutually exclusive categorical resolution: resolves to 'Villanova Wildcats' if Villanova wins, 'Creighton Bluejays' if Creighton wins. 50-50 split only if game is canceled with no makeup. This is logically sound.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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