TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$87,176,691
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,391,958,194
394,660
Markets across
30,119
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,626
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 8, 5:33 PM EST
Kalshi
Traders assess whether Vila Nova or Sport Recife will secure a victory by a margin exceeding a certain number of goals in their upcoming match. The evaluation is based solely on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
If Vila Nova wins by more than 2.5 goals in the Vila Nova vs Sport Recife professional Brasileiro Serie B soccer game originally scheduled for Aug 8, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If Vila Nova wins by more than 1.5 goals in the Vila Nova vs Sport Recife professional Brasileiro Serie B soccer game originally scheduled for Aug 8, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If Sport Recife wins by more than 1.5 goals in the Vila Nova vs Sport Recife professional Brasileiro Serie B soccer game originally scheduled for Aug 8, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. If Sport Recife wins by more than 2.5 goals in the Vila Nova vs Sport Recife professional Brasileiro Serie B soccer game originally scheduled for Aug 8, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to the speculative nature of trader-driven pricing. While sportsbooks set fixed spreads and margins, prediction markets reflect aggregated trader beliefs, which can skew toward stronger or weaker teams depending on recent performance or injuries. This creates opportunities for divergence, especially when trader sentiment diverges from established sportsbook trends.
This market resolves around Aug 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score will determine whether Sport Recife meets the spread condition, and the result is finalized once official match records are published. No additional interpretation is needed beyond the publicly confirmed match result.
Injuries to key players, changes in coaching strategy, or recent form for either team can significantly affect this market. Traders will also react to pre-match betting trends, weather conditions on game day, and any last-minute lineup announcements. Each update reshaping expectations for the spread will likely shift odds on Kalshi as participants adjust their positions ahead of Aug 8, 2026.