TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 18, 8:44 PM EST
Kalshi
The match features two teams competing in a professional soccer league. The outcome depends on whether both teams manage to score at least one goal during the regular 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time. This scenario highlights the offensive performance of both sides within the standard match duration.
If Vila Nova and America FC both score a goal in the Vila Nova vs America FC Brasileiro Serie B match originally scheduled for Sep 18, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can sometimes differ from those offered by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action on both sides, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs about the probability of both teams scoring. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook’s odds are inaccurate, they can drive the price on Kalshi in a different direction. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before a lot of money has been traded on either side, as the market attempts to find its true price.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of 'Both Teams To Score' occurring in the Vila Nova vs America FC match. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing a percentage chance. As more traders buy contracts, the price increases, indicating growing belief in that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price reflects the collective assessment of all participants, constantly adjusting based on supply and demand. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to provide a real-time estimate of the market's expectation.
This market resolves around Sep 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether both Vila Nova and America FC score at least one goal during the match. Official match results from a trusted sports data source will be used to determine if both teams found the back of the net. The final score will be the determining factor, and the market will settle accordingly based on whether both teams scored or not.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Vila Nova or America FC would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain, could also affect the likelihood of a high-scoring game. Even pre-match analysis from reputable soccer pundits or unexpected lineup announcements could shift trader sentiment and cause the price to move. Any information that alters the perceived probability of both teams scoring has the potential to move this market.