TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 6, 6:00 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Brazil Serie B game between Vila Nova FC and São Bernardo FC, scheduled for July 6, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Vila Nova FC vs. São Bernardo FC match originally scheduled for July 6, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Brazil Serie B game between Vila Nova FC and São Bernardo FC, scheduled for July 6, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Vila Nova FC vs. São Bernardo FC match originally scheduled for July 6, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are driven by traders seeking to profit from accurate forecasts. Prediction markets can sometimes offer sharper, more efficient pricing because participants have direct financial exposure to accuracy. However, sportsbooks may occasionally price certain outcomes differently based on their risk management and customer flow. Comparing the two can reveal valuable insights into where smart money sees value in this matchup.
This market resolves around Jul 6, 2026, once the match concludes and the final score is confirmed. The outcome is determined by the exact scoreline at full time, verified against credible public sources covering the fixture. No adjustments are made for extra time or penalty shootouts unless the market terms explicitly state otherwise. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the final whistle, allowing traders to settle their positions promptly. Until that point, prices remain fluid and responsive to any developments that might influence the expected result.
Key catalysts include team news such as injuries to star players, lineup announcements, or tactical shifts that alter expected performance. Recent form, head-to-head history, and home-field advantage can all shift trader sentiment as the match approaches. Weather conditions, pitch quality, or referee assignments may also influence how traders price different scorelines. Social media sentiment, expert predictions, and betting syndicate activity can trigger rapid repricing. In the hours before kickoff, final team sheets and any last-minute developments typically drive the most significant probability shifts, as uncertainty resolves into concrete information.