TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 22, 12:58 AM EST
Polymarket
This event group covers the exact final score of a Brazil Serie B match between Vila Nova FC and Fortaleza EC scheduled for July 21, 2026. Polymarket offers 18 discrete exact-score outcomes plus an 'Any Other Score' catch-all, while Kalshi provides four spread-based markets (goal-differential thresholds). Both resolve on the 90-minute regulation result only, excluding extra time and penalties.
In the upcoming Brazil Serie B game between Vila Nova FC and Fortaleza EC, scheduled for July 21, 2026 at 8:35 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Vila Nova FC vs. Fortaleza EC match originally scheduled for July 21, 2026 at 8:35 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Resolution depends on the goal differential between Vila Nova and Fortaleza during the full 90 minutes plus stoppage time of their Brasileiro Serie B match originally scheduled for July 21, 2026. Extra time and penalties are not included. Bettors can wager on whether Vila Nova wins by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals, or whether Fortaleza wins by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals. A team must win by the specified margin for the corresponding outcome to resolve affirmatively.
Prediction markets and sportsbooks price outcomes differently because they operate under distinct incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets rely on supply and demand from traders seeking to profit on their forecasts. This often results in prediction market prices reflecting sharper, less biased estimates of true probabilities. Sportsbook odds typically include a built-in margin favoring the house, whereas prediction markets distribute winnings directly to traders who correctly anticipated the outcome. Over time, prediction market prices have proven competitive with or superior to sportsbook lines on many sporting events.
Team news significantly impacts this market: injuries to key players, lineup changes, or tactical shifts can alter scoring expectations. Recent form, head-to-head records, and home-field advantage all influence trader positioning. Weather conditions on match day may affect play style and goal-scoring likelihood. Major betting syndicates or sharp traders entering the market can trigger rapid repricing as new capital flows in. Social media sentiment and mainstream sports coverage occasionally spark retail trader activity, creating volatility. Monitoring team announcements and pre-match analysis helps you stay ahead of price movements.