TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Vila Nova FC vs. Fortaleza EC
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Vila Nova FC vs. Fortaleza EC?

Volume:
$684,142

Vila Nova

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 22, 2026

Closed: Jul 21, 10:31 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Vila Nova

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$301,549
N/A
N/A
$163,280
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Vila Nova FC

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$49,853
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Fortaleza

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$171,215
N/A
N/A
$122,949
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$129,342
N/A
N/A
$87,724
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Vila Nova FC vs. Fortaleza EC)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,128
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Fortaleza EC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$23,055
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks whether Vila Nova FC will win their upcoming match against Fortaleza EC on July 21, 2026. The aggregated consensus probability for Vila Nova FC winning stands at 100.0%, with Fortaleza EC at 0.1%, drawn from Polymarket and Kalshi, and resolution governed by the official Série B championship rules at cbf.com.br. The final outcome will be confirmed by the match result on July 22, 2026, following the end of regular play and stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket and Kalshi employ fundamentally different market structures and cancellation logic. Polymarket uses three separate binary markets with asymmetric cancellation rules (Draw resolves Yes, but Win markets resolve No). Kalshi's structure is ambiguous and lacks explicit cancellation guidance, creating unresolvable settlement risk.Hero tip: Do not assume these markets are equivalent. Obtain Kalshi's official market structure documentation. If Kalshi is a single three-outcome market, cross-platform hedging is impossible. If Kalshi offers three binaries, the cancellation divergence (especially Draw → Yes on Polymarket) creates a one-way arbitrage risk that favors Draw positions on Polymarket in cancellation scenarios.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets (Vila Nova Win, Draw, Fortaleza Win). Cancellation with no makeup game resolves Vila Nova Win and Fortaleza Win to No, but Draw resolves to Yes. Resolution source: CBF official statistics within 2 hours, or credible reporting consensus. Scope: 90 minutes plus stoppage time only.
  • Kalshi: Market structure unclear from provided text—appears to offer three resolution paths (Vila Nova wins → Yes, Fortaleza wins → Yes, Tie → Yes), but does not specify whether these are three separate binaries or a single three-outcome market. No explicit cancellation clause provided. Scope: 90 minutes plus stoppage time only.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Brazil Serie B game, scheduled for Tuesday, July 21, 2026 between Vila Nova FC and Fortaleza EC.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the final result of the Vila Nova vs Fortaleza Brasileiro Serie B match after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with extra time and penalties excluded. Each possible outcome—Vila Nova victory, Fortaleza victory, or a tie—resolves its corresponding market to Yes. If the match ends in a draw, the Tie market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with established rules.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates prediction market data on the Vila Nova vs. Fortaleza match across Polymarket and Kalshi, allowing you to monitor real-time odds and trading volume as the event approaches. Traders on both platforms are pricing the outcome of this matchup, with each venue reflecting independent market sentiment. By tracking both platforms side by side, you gain visibility into consensus expectations and spot divergences that may signal value or uncertainty. The dashboard consolidates these signals into one view, helping you make informed decisions about where the market leans before kickoff.

Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price outcomes differently because they operate under distinct incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and manage risk, often building in a margin. Prediction markets, by contrast, are peer-to-peer venues where traders themselves set prices through supply and demand. This can make prediction markets more efficient at discovering true probability, especially when informed traders participate heavily. However, sportsbook odds may reflect sharper professional input in some cases. Comparing both sources helps you identify mispricings and understand where consensus truly lies on this market.