TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 13, 3:33 PM EST
Kalshi
This market examines different victory margins for Vikingur Reykjavik and Thun in their soccer match. Outcomes include both narrow and dominant wins for either team, calculated through the goal difference during regulation time alone.
All markets resolve based on the goal difference between Vikingur Reykjavik and Thun during the 90 minutes of play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. A 'Yes' outcome occurs for the first two markets if Vikingur Reykjavik wins by more than 2.5 or 1.5 goals, and for the last two markets if Thun wins by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals. The markets exclusively consider regulation time, and Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league or ownership of related trademarks.
On Kalshi, this market reflects trader sentiment rather than traditional sportsbook lines. Prediction markets often price in nuanced factors like recent form and injuries that sportsbooks may lag behind in updating. While sportsbooks set fixed spreads based on broader public betting patterns, this market adjusts continuously as new information emerges and trader positions shift. The resulting odds can therefore diverge noticeably from sportsbook spreads, especially as Aug 13, 2026 approaches and event-specific updates become more frequent.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders actively set the odds for this market based on their expectations of the game’s outcome. The current top outcome reflects the collective judgment of participants, with the chance percentage indicating the implied probability of Thun winning by more than 1.5 goals. Volume of $8,770 shows the level of interest and activity in the market.
This market resolves around Aug 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result is determined by the official match score after regulation time, and the market settles based on whether Thun meets the spread condition.
Several key developments could shift this market before Aug 13, 2026. Injuries to star players, changes in coaching strategy, or unexpected weather conditions might all alter the expected goal differential. Strong early performance in the match or a momentum swing could also reshape trader expectations rapidly. As the match date nears, updated news from official team channels and pre-game analyst assessments will likely drive further adjustments in this market.