TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$87,997,338
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,395,155,069
395,664
Markets across
30,076
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,626
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
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Closed: Sep 27, 7:25 PM EST
Kalshi
Intro
This market tracks the Over/Under 36.5 points scored in the NFL game between the Minnesota Vikings and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Currently, the consensus probability of Vikings vs. Buccaneers: O/U 36.5 occurring is 100.0%. This aggregation combines data from Polymarket, Kalshi, and Limitless, with resolution based on official NFL game results as published on https://www.nfl.com/scores. Keep an eye on the game itself on September 27th, as the final score will determine the outcome of this market.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue: Kalshi's market has an incorrect date and lacks detailed resolution criteria regarding ties and overtime, while Polymarket provides comprehensive rules.Hero tip: Prioritize Polymarket markets for accurate resolution and avoid Kalshi due to the date error and incomplete rules.Critical divergence points:
- Polymarket: Resolves based on official NFL game results (NFL.com), including overtime. A 50-50 split occurs for cancellations or ties. "If Vikings wins, the market will resolve to 'Vikings'. If Buccaneers wins, the market will resolve to 'Buccaneers'."
- Kalshi: Resolves to 'Yes' if either Tampa Bay or Minnesota wins the game, with no mention of ties or overtime. The date is also incorrect: "If Tampa Bay wins the Minnesota vs Tampa Bay Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes."
Polymarket
In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for September 27 at 4:05PM ET: If Vikings wins, the market will resolve to "Vikings". If Buccaneers wins, the market will resolve to "Buccaneers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Kalshi
The market resolves to Yes for the respective team that wins the designated professional football game. If the game ends in a tie, each team’s market resolves to $0.50. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market stays open to resolve based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Limitless
In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for September 27 at 4:05PM ET: If Vikings wins, the market will resolve to "Vikings". If Buccaneers wins, the market will resolve to "Buccaneers". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely or ends in a tie, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Frequently asked questions
Prediction market odds, like those found on this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the different incentives and information sources involved. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while prediction markets reflect the aggregated beliefs of informed traders. This can lead to prediction markets being more accurate, especially when significant information isn't yet reflected in sportsbook lines. The dynamic nature of this market allows for rapid adjustments based on new information, potentially offering an edge over static sportsbook odds.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the probabilities in this market. Key player injuries, changes in weather forecasts, or significant news regarding team strategies could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected developments in team performance during practice or pre-game reports could also cause the market to react. Any information that alters the perceived likelihood of either team winning will likely lead to adjustments in the odds, creating opportunities for informed traders.
