TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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# Views of Most Viewed TV Show This Week (Aug 24-30)
kalshi
polymarket

# Views of Most Viewed TV Show This Week (Aug 24-30)

Volume:
$37,537

Silo

 - Kalshi

Silo - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 5, 2026

Closed: Aug 29, 11:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Silo

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,835
N/A
N/A
$2,302
Settled
Yes
polymarket

9m–9.5m

View
100%
88%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$932
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Lanterns

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,440
N/A
N/A
$1,650
Settled
No
kalshi

Sterling Point

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,395
N/A
N/A
$1,301
Settled
No
kalshi

Ted Lasso

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,141
N/A
N/A
$2,629
Settled
No
kalshi

Furious

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,630
N/A
N/A
$2,521
Settled
No
polymarket

<7m

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,076
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

8.5m–9m

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,593
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Lioness

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,561
N/A
N/A
$1,322
Settled
No
kalshi

Reacher

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,396
N/A
N/A
$1,025
Settled
No
kalshi

Stuart Fails to Save the Universe

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,094
N/A
N/A
$1,094
Settled
No
kalshi

Heroes

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,047
N/A
N/A
$1,001
Settled
No
kalshi

Outer Banks

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,001
N/A
N/A
$1,001
Settled
No
kalshi

House of the Dragon

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,001
N/A
N/A
$1,001
Settled
No
kalshi

The Shards

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,001
N/A
N/A
$1,001
Settled
No
kalshi

Lucky

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,001
N/A
N/A
$1,001
Settled
No
kalshi

Tires

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,001
N/A
N/A
$1,001
Settled
No
kalshi

Bleach: Thousand-Year Blood War (MOVIE)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,001
N/A
N/A
$1,001
Settled
No
kalshi

Star Trek: Strange New Worlds

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,001
N/A
N/A
$1,001
Settled
No
kalshi

Widow's Bay

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,001
N/A
N/A
$1,001
Settled
No
kalshi

Rick and Morty

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,001
N/A
N/A
$1,001
Settled
No
kalshi

Love Island USA

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,001
N/A
N/A
$1,001
Settled
No
kalshi

Ludwig

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,001
N/A
N/A
$1,001
Settled
No
polymarket

10m+

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$573
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

7.5m–8m

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$311
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 28

Description

This event group tracks the viewership numbers of the most viewed TV show in the United States for the week of August 24-30, 2024. Markets are centered around whether the top show's viewership falls within specific numerical ranges, as reported by Nielsen's Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All markets resolve using Nielsen's P2+ viewership data for the specified week, with consistent rules for data availability and bracket selection.Primary resolution logic: Nielsen's Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution uses the first official Nielsen estimate for P2+ viewership of the highest-rated program for the week of August 24-30, 2024
  • If data is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the second Thursday after the week, the market resolves to the lowest bracket
  • If viewership falls exactly between brackets, the market resolves to the higher range bracket
  • Any revisions or retractions after the first official estimate are ignored

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Data Unavailability: If Nielsen fails to release complete data by the deadline, all markets resolve to the lowest bracket
  • Partial Data: If only partial data is available by the deadline, resolution is based on the available data
  • Exact Bracket Boundary: Viewership exactly between brackets resolves to the higher bracket
Timing: Resolution occurs after Nielsen releases the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart for the week of August 24-30, 2024, no later than 11:59 PM ET on the second Thursday following the weekOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

Nielsen updates its Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart on Thursdays, reflecting U.S. TV viewership data from the previous week (Monday-Sunday). This market will resolve according to the number of U.S. viewers (Persons 2+ average total viewers, P2+) of the highest viewed program for the Week of August 24 - August 30. This market will resolve based on the first official estimate reported by Nielsen. Any later revisions or retractions will have no bearing on resolution. If the data for the specified week is not released in its entirety by 11:59 PM ET on the second Thursday following the specified week, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the data for the specified week remains partially published (i.e. excluding certain days of the week) by that time, this market will resolve based on the viewership data available at that point. If the reported number of viewers falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve according to Nielsen’s P2+ viewership statistic for the specified week, as reported on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart, regardless of any future changes in methodology. If Nielsen ceases to publish the P2+ viewership statistic on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be information from Nielsen, specifically their P2+ viewership statistic as reported on the Linear TV Top 10 Total Chart (see: https://www.nielsen.com/data-center/top-ten/#television).

Kalshi

If Lanterns is ranked #1 on Television Stats’ 'The Most Popular TV Shows Right Now' list for Aug 29, 2026 ranked by attention score, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ted Lasso is ranked #1 on Television Stats’ 'The Most Popular TV Shows Right Now' list for Aug 29, 2026 ranked by attention score, then the market resolves to Yes. If Furious is ranked #1 on Television Stats’ 'The Most Popular TV Shows Right Now' list for Aug 29, 2026 ranked by attention score, then the market resolves to Yes. If Reacher is ranked #1 on Television Stats’ 'The Most Popular TV Shows Right Now' list for Aug 29, 2026 ranked by attention score, then the market resolves to Yes. If Silo is ranked #1 on Television Stats’ 'The Most Popular TV Shows Right Now' list for Aug 29, 2026 ranked by attention score, then the market resolves to Yes. If Lioness is ranked #1 on Television Stats’ 'The Most Popular TV Shows Right Now' list for Aug 29, 2026 ranked by attention score, then the market resolves to Yes. If Outer Banks is ranked #1 on Television Stats’ 'The Most Popular TV Shows Right Now' list for Aug 29, 2026 ranked by attention score, then the market resolves to Yes. If Sterling Point is ranked #1 on Television Stats’ 'The Most Popular TV Shows Right Now' list for Aug 29, 2026 ranked by attention score, then the market resolves to Yes. If House of the Dragon is ranked #1 on Television Stats’ 'The Most Popular TV Shows Right Now' list for Aug 29, 2026 ranked by attention score, then the market resolves to Yes. If The Shards is ranked #1 on Television Stats’ 'The Most Popular TV Shows Right Now' list for Aug 29, 2026 ranked by attention score, then the market resolves to Yes. If Lucky is ranked #1 on Television Stats’ 'The Most Popular TV Shows Right Now' list for Aug 29, 2026 ranked by attention score, then the market resolves to Yes. If Tires is ranked #1 on Television Stats’ 'The Most Popular TV Shows Right Now' list for Aug 29, 2026 ranked by attention score, then the market resolves to Yes. If Bleach: Thousand-Year Blood War (MOVIE) is ranked #1 on Television Stats’ 'The Most Popular TV Shows Right Now' list for Aug 29, 2026 ranked by attention score, then the market resolves to Yes. If Star Trek: Strange New Worlds is ranked #1 on Television Stats’ 'The Most Popular TV Shows Right Now' list for Aug 29, 2026 ranked by attention score, then the market resolves to Yes. If Widow's Bay is ranked #1 on Television Stats’ 'The Most Popular TV Shows Right Now' list for Aug 29, 2026 ranked by attention score, then the market resolves to Yes. If Rick and Morty is ranked #1 on Television Stats’ 'The Most Popular TV Shows Right Now' list for Aug 29, 2026 ranked by attention score, then the market resolves to Yes. If Love Island USA is ranked #1 on Television Stats’ 'The Most Popular TV Shows Right Now' list for Aug 29, 2026 ranked by attention score, then the market resolves to Yes. If Heroes is ranked #1 on Television Stats’ 'The Most Popular TV Shows Right Now' list for Aug 29, 2026 ranked by attention score, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ludwig is ranked #1 on Television Stats’ 'The Most Popular TV Shows Right Now' list for Aug 29, 2026 ranked by attention score, then the market resolves to Yes. If Stuart Fails to Save the Universe is ranked #1 on Television Stats’ 'The Most Popular TV Shows Right Now' list for Aug 29, 2026 ranked by attention score, then the market resolves to Yes.