TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
3.25m–3.5m
- Polymarket
3.25m–3.5m - Polymarket
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 5, 2026
Closed: Sep 4, 8:12 PM EST
Polymarket
Description
Nielsen updates its Linear TV Top 10 Cable Chart on Thursdays, reflecting U.S. TV viewership data from the previous week (Monday-Sunday). This market will resolve according to the number of U.S. viewers (Persons 2+ average total viewers, P2+) of the highest viewed episode of Jesse Watters Primetime for the Week of August 24 - August 30, as reported on the Linear TV Top 10 Cable Chart. This market will resolve based on the first official estimate reported by Nielsen. Any later revisions or retractions will have no bearing on resolution. If the specified show does not appear on the final chart for the specified week, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the data for the specified week is entirely unreleased by 11:59 PM ET on the second Thursday following the specified week, this market will resolve according to the lowest bracket. If the data for the specified week remains partially published (i.e. excluding certain days of the week) by that time, or if only some episodes of Jesse Watters Primetime appear on the Linear TV Top 10 Cable Chart, this market will resolve based on the viewership data available at that point. If the reported number of viewers falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve according to Nielsen’s P2+ viewership statistic for the specified week, as reported on the Linear TV Top 10 Cable Chart, regardless of any future changes in methodology. If Nielsen ceases to publish the P2+ viewership statistic on the Linear TV Top 10 Cable Chart, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be information from Nielsen, specifically their P2+ viewership statistic as reported on the Linear TV Top 10 Cable Chart (see: https://www.nielsen.com/data-center/top-ten/#television).
Polymarket
Nielsen updates its Linear TV Top 10 Cable Chart on Thursdays, reflecting U.S. TV viewership data from the previous week (Monday-Sunday). This market will resolve according to the number of U.S. viewers (Persons 2+ average total viewers, P2+) of the highest viewed episode of Jesse Watters Primetime for the Week of August 24 - August 30, as reported on the Linear TV Top 10 Cable Chart. This market will resolve based on the first official estimate reported by Nielsen. Any later revisions or retractions will have no bearing on resolution. If the specified show does not appear on the final chart for the specified week, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. If the data for the specified week is entirely unreleased by 11:59 PM ET on the second Thursday following the specified week, this market will resolve according to the lowest bracket. If the data for the specified week remains partially published (i.e. excluding certain days of the week) by that time, or if only some episodes of Jesse Watters Primetime appear on the Linear TV Top 10 Cable Chart, this market will resolve based on the viewership data available at that point. If the reported number of viewers falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve according to Nielsen’s P2+ viewership statistic for the specified week, as reported on the Linear TV Top 10 Cable Chart, regardless of any future changes in methodology. If Nielsen ceases to publish the P2+ viewership statistic on the Linear TV Top 10 Cable Chart, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be information from Nielsen, specifically their P2+ viewership statistic as reported on the Linear TV Top 10 Cable Chart (see: https://www.nielsen.com/data-center/top-ten/#television).
Frequently asked questions
Compared to analyst forecasts, prediction market odds often reflect a blend of expert expectations and crowd-driven speculation. Analysts may publish their own viewership projections based on historical ratings, guest stars, or promotional hype, while this market incorporates real-time trader sentiment. If analysts predict higher viewership than the current odds imply, you might see buying pressure push prices upward. Conversely, if expert views are more bearish, this market could remain skewed toward lower ranges unless new information emerges to shift trader perception.
This market resolves around Sep 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final determination will be based on official viewership data released after the week of August 24–30. Once verified ratings are published, the market settles on the range that matches the most viewed episode’s audience count, closing all positions and paying out winners according to the settled price.
Several signals could shift this market before it resolves. Major news about Jesse Watters’ guests, controversial topics scheduled for air, or promotional campaigns can create spikes in expected viewership and drive prices higher. Conversely, technical issues, low-rated guests, or competing broadcasts could push odds toward lower ranges. Weekly rating previews, social media buzz, and media coverage will also influence trader sentiment, especially as the August 24–30 window approaches. Any unexpected surge or dip in early-week viewership may similarly affect market positioning going into the final days.
