TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 15, 7:40 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of a scheduled mixed martial arts fight between Vicente Luque and Tresean Gore. It focuses on how quickly the bout concludes during its scheduled rounds. The resolution depends on whether the fight ends prematurely within the first few rounds as specified.
The market resolves based on the duration of the Vicente Luque vs. Tresean Gore fight scheduled for August 15, 2026. If the fight concludes before the beginning of round 2, the 'Fight ends before round 2' outcome is triggered. Alternatively, if the fight ends before the beginning of round 3 but lasts through round 2, the 'Fight ends before round 3' outcome applies. Both rules assess the fight’s progression by round boundaries to determine resolution, with Kalshi explicitly stating no official affiliation with the governing league or ownership of related trademarks, logos, or brand names.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders submit bids and asks directly, driving the current implied probability. The top outcome's displayed chance reflects aggregated trader positioning and recent trading activity, adjusted for liquidity and market depth. This decentralized pricing mechanism allows for rapid updates as new information emerges.
This market resolves around Aug 16, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by official fight records and widely accepted sports news sources, ensuring an objective and transparent resolution process for all participants on Kalshi.
Key signals that could shift prices in this market include pre-fight media coverage, trainer updates, injury reports, and changes in betting momentum. Significant developments like training camp performance, weigh-in results, or unexpected announcements from the fighters' teams may also cause rapid repricing on Kalshi as traders adjust their expectations ahead of the event.