Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Polymarket and Kalshi both resolve based on the official outcome of the Wolfsburg vs. Bremen Bundesliga match on March 21, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with identical handling of postponements and cancellations.
Primary resolution logic:
Official Bundesliga statistics and governing body records, with fallback to credible reporting consensus if official statistics are not published within 2 hours of match conclusion.
Core resolution logic:
Exactly one of three mutually exclusive outcomes will occur: Wolfsburg win, Bremen win, or draw.
Each outcome resolves to YES on its corresponding market and NO on the other two markets.
Resolution is based solely on the result within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
If the match is postponed, all markets remain open until the match is completed.
If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game, Wolfsburg and Bremen win markets resolve NO, and the draw market resolves YES.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Match Postponement: If the match is postponed, all three markets (Wolfsburg win, Bremen win, draw) remain open and unresolved until the rescheduled match is completed.
Match Cancellation Without Makeup: If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game scheduled, the Wolfsburg and Bremen win markets resolve NO, while the draw market resolves YES.
Official Statistics Delay: If official Bundesliga statistics are not published within 2 hours of match conclusion, resolution may be based on consensus from credible reporting sources.
Timing:
Resolution occurs upon official publication of final match statistics by Bundesliga or the governing body, or within 2 hours after match conclusion via credible reporting consensus if official statistics are delayed.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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