This event group covers the halftime result of the VfL Wolfsburg vs. Hamburger SV Bundesliga match scheduled for March 7, 2026. Markets track which team is leading (or if it's a draw) after 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The group spans multiple prediction platforms with overlapping but structurally different market designs.
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both Polymarket and Kalshi define halftime result identically: the score after 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, with identical handling of postponements and cancellations.
Primary resolution logic:
Official Bundesliga governing body statistics; credible reporting consensus if official data unavailable within 24 hours of match conclusion
Core resolution logic:
Halftime result is determined by the score after exactly 45 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time awarded by the referee
Three mutually exclusive outcomes: Wolfsburg leading (more goals), Hamburger SV leading (more goals), or draw (equal goals)
Polymarket binary markets (Wolfsburg leading Yes/No, Hamburg leading Yes/No, Draw Yes/No) and Kalshi ternary markets (Hamburg wins first half, Tie, Wolfsburg wins first half) all resolve to the same underlying halftime outcome
If match is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the match is played
If match is canceled entirely with no makeup game scheduled, all markets resolve to No
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Postponement: If the match is postponed, markets remain open until the match is completed on its rescheduled date. No early resolution occurs.
Cancellation: If the match is canceled with no makeup game, Polymarket binary markets resolve to No. Kalshi ternary markets do not resolve Yes to any outcome.
Official Data Delay: If official Bundesliga statistics are not published within 24 hours after match conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting (major sports news outlets, league announcements) may be used as the resolution source.
Stoppage Time Inclusion: Halftime result includes all stoppage time awarded by the referee at the end of the first half; it is not limited to exactly 45 minutes of clock time.
Timing:
Resolution occurs after the conclusion of the first half (45 minutes plus stoppage time) of the match on March 7, 2026, once official statistics are published or credible consensus is established (within 24 hours of match end).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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