TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 29, 9:15 AM EST
Kalshi
This event group covers the outcomes of the VfL Wolfsburg vs. FC Energie Cottbus soccer match scheduled for September 5, 2026, including win conditions for both teams and the possibility of a draw.
This event is for the upcoming 2. Bundesliga game, scheduled for Saturday, September 5, 2026 between VfL Wolfsburg and FC Energie Cottbus.
The markets resolve based on the result of the Cottbus vs Greuther Furth professional Bundesliga 2 soccer match scheduled for August 29, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. A 'Yes' outcome for each respective market occurs if the stated team wins or if the match ends in a tie. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price following Kalshi's standard procedures. Kalshi clarifies that it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect a more nuanced, real-time view shaped by trader sentiment and available information, while sportsbooks set lines based on broader public betting trends and proprietary models. In this market, the probability weights can diverge significantly, especially when new data emerges about team performance or player availability.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through user-driven trading, while Kalshi may use different liquidity models. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For example, market depth and open interest can vary, leading to price gaps. Additionally, each platform’s user base may have different risk appetites or information flows, which can temporarily push probabilities apart. Even small differences in trading volume or recent bets can amplify these discrepancies, especially in lower-volume markets like the Wolfsburg vs. Cottbus match outcome market.