Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Polymarket and Kalshi both resolve based on the official match outcome after 90 minutes plus stoppage time on April 11, 2026, with identical handling of postponements and cancellations.
Primary resolution logic:
Official Bundesliga statistics and governing body records, with fallback to credible reporting consensus if official statistics are not published within 2 hours of match conclusion.
Core resolution logic:
Market resolves based on the match result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only (no extra time or penalties).
If Wolfsburg wins, the Wolfsburg win market resolves YES and the Frankfurt win and draw markets resolve NO.
If Frankfurt wins, the Frankfurt win market resolves YES and the Wolfsburg win and draw markets resolve NO.
If the match ends in a draw, the draw market resolves YES and both team win markets resolve NO.
If the match is postponed, all markets remain open until the match is completed.
If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game, the Wolfsburg win and Frankfurt win markets resolve NO, and the draw market resolves YES.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the rescheduled match is completed and a result is determined.
Cancellation with No Make-Up: If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game scheduled, Wolfsburg win and Frankfurt win markets resolve NO, while the draw market resolves YES.
Resolution Source Timing: Primary resolution uses official Bundesliga/governing body statistics. If official statistics are not published within 2 hours after match conclusion, credible reporting consensus may be used instead.
Timing:
Resolution occurs upon completion of 90 minutes plus stoppage time on April 11, 2026, with official statistics as the primary source and a 2-hour window for publication before fallback to credible reporting.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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