TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$218,201,443
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,797,601
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,873,651
500,842
Markets across
13,663
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,809
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
VfB Stuttgart vs. FC Porto - More Markets
Volume:
$537,591
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a UEFA Europa League match between VfB Stuttgart (home) and FC Porto (away) scheduled for March 12, 2026 at 1:45 PM ET. Markets span spread bets (goal-margin outcomes), over/under totals, and both-teams-to-score, all resolving to the official final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Polymarket and Kalshi both reference the same match (Stuttgart vs Porto, March 12, 2026, 90 minutes plus stoppage time), the same primary source (UEFA.com official statistics), and identical fallback logic (credible reporting consensus if no official publication within 2 hours). All spread, over/under, and player-outcome markets use this unified framework.
Primary resolution logic:
UEFA.com official final score; secondary source is consensus of credible reporting if UEFA.com does not publish within 2 hours of match conclusionCore resolution logic:
- Spread: VfB Stuttgart (-1.5) resolves YES if Stuttgart wins by 2+ goals, otherwise NO
- Spread: VfB Stuttgart (-2.5) resolves YES if Stuttgart wins by 3+ goals, otherwise NO
- Spread: FC Porto (-1.5) resolves YES if Porto wins by 2+ goals, otherwise NO
- Spread: FC Porto (-2.5) resolves YES if Porto wins by 3+ goals, otherwise NO
- Over/Under 1.5: Over if combined goals >= 2, Under if < 2
- Over/Under 2.5: Over if combined goals >= 3, Under if < 3
- Over/Under 3.5: Over if combined goals >= 4, Under if < 4
- Over/Under 4.5: Over if combined goals >= 5, Under if < 5
- Both Teams to Score: Yes if each team scores >= 1 goal, No if either team scores 0
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Match Postponement: Markets remain open and unresolved until the match is completed. No early resolution occurs.
- Match Cancellation (No Makeup): All markets resolve 50-50 (split equally between Yes and No outcomes).
- Match Started But Not Completed: Resolution uses the official final score from UEFA.com for the completed portion; if no official publication within 2 hours, credible reporting consensus is used.
- Scope: Extra Time and Penalties: Markets explicitly exclude extra time and penalties. Only 90 minutes plus stoppage time counts.
- Source Timing Fallback: If UEFA.com does not publish official statistics within 2 hours after match conclusion, resolution uses consensus of credible reporting sources.
Timing:
Resolution occurs after the match concludes (90 minutes plus stoppage time). Official UEFA.com publication is checked within 2 hours; if unavailable, credible reporting consensus is used immediately thereafter.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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