TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$216,099,358
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,189,677,720
500,754
Markets across
13,672
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,801
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
VfB Stuttgart vs. FC Porto
Volume:
$5,552,931
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional Europa League soccer match between VfB Stuttgart and FC Porto scheduled for March 12, 2026. Markets are offered on Polymarket (three binary outcomes: Porto win, Stuttgart win, draw) and Kalshi (a single market covering all three outcomes). Resolution depends on the final score after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Both platforms measure the same event (Stuttgart vs Porto, March 12, 2026, 90 minutes plus stoppage time) with aligned resolution windows and sources, though cancellation handling differs slightly between platforms.
Primary resolution logic:
UEFA official statistics; credible reporting consensus if official statistics unavailable within 2 hours after match conclusionCore resolution logic:
- Resolution window is 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only; extra time and penalties are excluded
- Match date is March 12, 2026
- Polymarket offers three separate binary markets: Porto win (Yes/No), Stuttgart win (Yes/No), and Draw (Yes/No)
- Kalshi offers a single market that resolves Yes if any outcome occurs (Tie, Stuttgart win, or Porto win)
- If match is postponed, all markets remain open until the match is completed
- If match is canceled entirely with no make-up game: Polymarket Porto and Stuttgart markets resolve No, Draw market resolves Yes; Kalshi market resolves Yes
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Match Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the match is actually played and completed
- Match Cancellation (No Make-up): Polymarket: Porto win and Stuttgart win resolve No; Draw resolves Yes. Kalshi: Market resolves Yes (all outcomes treated as occurring)
- Extra Time or Penalties: Resolution is based only on the 90-minute regulation period plus stoppage time; any extra time or penalty shootout is excluded from resolution
- Source Delay: If UEFA official statistics are not published within 2 hours after match conclusion, resolution may use consensus from credible reporting sources
Timing:
Resolution occurs after the match concludes on March 12, 2026, following the 90-minute regulation period plus stoppage time. Official UEFA statistics are the primary source, with a 2-hour window for publication before fallback to credible reporting consensus.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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