TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 15, 12:50 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of the first map in an esports League of Legends match between two teams. The result depends entirely on which team secures the victory in that specific map during the scheduled competition. It reflects the competitive performance of the teams in the opening phase of their match.
The event resolves based on the result of map 1 in the specified League of Legends match between VfB eSports and All for One Gaming. If VfB eSports wins map 1, its corresponding market resolves to Yes; if All for One Gaming wins map 1, its market resolves to Yes. If the match or map is postponed beyond 48 hours, cancelled, or forfeited before play begins, both markets resolve to the fair market price. If a map begins and is later forfeited, the result follows the official outcome published by the tournament organizer. Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often proving more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, especially when considering information not readily captured by bookmakers. Sportsbooks may set initial lines based on team rankings and public perception, while this market incorporates a wider range of factors as traders buy and sell contracts. However, discrepancies can occur due to differing levels of liquidity and the specific information available to each group. It's important to compare both to gain a comprehensive view of potential outcomes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders submit bids and asks for contracts representing the probability of a specific map being selected. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective beliefs of the traders. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price adjusts to represent the most up-to-date assessment of the likelihood of each map being played first. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to provide a real-time estimate of the expected outcome.
This market resolves around Sep 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on which map was the first to be played in the match between VfB eSports and All for One Gaming. The official game results will serve as the basis for determining the winning contract. Traders holding the contract corresponding to the correct map will receive a payout, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment. The platform will verify the result and distribute payouts accordingly.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, team strategies, or potential roster changes for either VfB eSports or All for One Gaming could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about map pools or veto procedures could also have a significant impact. Furthermore, general shifts in public opinion or analysis from CS2 experts could drive trading activity. Monitoring these signals and assessing their potential impact on the likelihood of each map being played first is crucial for informed trading.