TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 14, 2:10 PM EST
Kalshi
The match between Verdant and Arctic Pandas in the NLC 2026 League of Legends competition could last more or less than a certain number of maps. Each map represents a segment of gameplay within the match, and the total maps played determines the length of the competition.
This event covers two markets based on the total number of maps played in the NLC 2026 League of Legends match between Verdant and Arctic Pandas scheduled for September 14, 2026, at 12:00 PM EDT. The first market resolves to Yes if more than 3.5 maps are played, essentially meaning at least four maps are completed. The second market resolves to Yes if more than 4.5 maps are played, meaning at least five maps are finished. Both markets are independent and resolve based solely on the final count of maps played during the match, regardless of the outcome of individual maps. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Comparing prediction market odds to sportsbook odds reveals how the wisdom of the crowd differs from traditional betting markets. Often, prediction markets, like this market, can incorporate information more quickly and efficiently than sportsbooks, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities. However, sportsbooks have established risk management practices and may offer different perspectives based on their models. Discrepancies can arise due to varying levels of information access, differing analytical approaches, and the incentive structures of each market. It’s important to consider both sources when forming an informed opinion.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to reflect the collective prediction. The market depth, displayed on the dashboard, indicates the volume of contracts available at various price points, providing insight into the strength of conviction behind different predictions. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market efficiently aggregates information.
This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final, official total number of maps played in the Verdant versus Arctic Pandas matchup, as reported by the official tournament organizers. Traders will be able to view the resolution details on Kalshi following the event's conclusion. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market’s outcome, based on publicly available and verifiable information.
Several signals or events could influence this market before it resolves. Any news regarding the form of either Verdant or Arctic Pandas, such as player performance updates or strategic changes, could shift expectations. Unexpected announcements about the tournament format or potential rule changes might also impact the market. Furthermore, significant shifts in public sentiment, perhaps driven by analyst predictions or community discussions, could lead to increased trading volume and price adjustments. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for understanding potential movements in this market.