TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 14, 1:30 PM EST
Kalshi
This event focuses on the result of map 2 in the same League of Legends match between Verdant and Arctic Pandas. The outcome is determined by which team claims this particular map during the contest.
The market resolves to Yes if either Verdant or Arctic Pandas wins map 2 of their scheduled match on September 14, 2026, at 12:00 PM EDT. Postponements beyond 48 hours, cancellations, or forfeitures before play result in resolution at the fair market price. If a map starts and is later forfeited, the market resolves per the official governing body result. Kalshi states no official connection to the league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks initially set lines based on their own analysis, aiming to balance action on both sides. This market, however, allows anyone to trade, meaning the odds can shift rapidly as new information emerges and more people participate. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook has mispriced an outcome, they can take the opposite position, driving the prediction market odds in a different direction. This dynamic can create discrepancies between the two.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing potential outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. Higher demand for a particular outcome drives up its price, indicating a greater perceived likelihood of it happening, while increased selling pressure lowers the price. This creates a real-time assessment of probabilities.
This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Verdant vs. Arctic Pandas match, as determined by the governing body or official source for the competition. The platform will verify the outcome against these sources to determine which contracts will pay out. Traders should monitor official announcements to understand how the resolution will be determined and ensure a smooth settlement process.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Sep 14, 2026. Any news regarding team compositions, player injuries, or strategic changes could influence trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the match venue or format could also cause shifts in the odds. Furthermore, major upsets in related matches or broader competitive trends could impact perceptions of each team's chances. Public opinion, as reflected in polls or analyst predictions, might also play a role, though the market ultimately reflects the collective judgment of those trading contracts.