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Venice Film Festival: Venice Film Festival: Silver Lion – Award for Best Director
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Venice Film Festival: Venice Film Festival: Silver Lion – Award for Best Director

Volume:
$10,147

Ilya Khrzhanovsky

 - Kalshi

Ilya Khrzhanovsky - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 12, 2026

Closed: Sep 12, 6:00 PM EST

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Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Ilya Khrzhanovsky

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,946
N/A
N/A
$1,946
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Lee Chang-dong

0%
17%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,965
N/A
N/A
$2,345
Settled
No
kalshi

Martin McDonagh

0%
25%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,269
N/A
N/A
$1,203
Settled
No
kalshi

Lance Oppenheim

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,250
N/A
N/A
$650
Settled
No
kalshi

May el-Toukhy

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,094
N/A
N/A
$1,094
Settled
No
kalshi

Yuval Abraham, Rachel Szor

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,002
N/A
N/A
$1,002
Settled
No
kalshi

Hirozaku Koreeda

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$210
N/A
N/A
$210
Settled
No
kalshi

Stéphane Brizé

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
$200
Settled
No
kalshi

Paolo Strippoli

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$100
N/A
N/A
$100
Settled
No
kalshi

Werner Herzog

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$59
N/A
N/A
$15
Settled
No
kalshi

Danny Boyle

0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$46
N/A
N/A
$46
Settled
No
kalshi

Shinya Tsukamoto

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
$5
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2
N/A
N/A
$2
Settled
No
kalshi

Casey Affleck

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Ali Asgari

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Marco Bechis

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Edoardo De Angelis

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Cédric Kahn

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Nanni Moretti

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Andrea Pallaoro

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Nicolas Pariser

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Florian Zeller

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 22

Description

The Venice Film Festival is one of cinema's most prestigious events, attracting filmmakers and enthusiasts from around the world. The Silver Lion – Award for Best Director recognizes outstanding directorial achievement in contemporary filmmaking, highlighting artistic excellence and innovation at the festival.

Kalshi

The market resolves to Yes if any listed director, including Casey Affleck, Ali Asgari, Marco Bechis, Danny Boyle, Stéphane Brizé, Edoardo De Angelis, May el-Toukhy, Werner Herzog, Cédric Kahn, Ilya Khrzhanovsky, Hirozaku Koreeda, Lee Chang-dong, Martin McDonagh, Nanni Moretti, Lance Oppenheim, Andrea Pallaoro, Nicolas Pariser, Paolo Strippoli, Shinya Tsukamoto, Florian Zeller, or a Tie, wins the Silver Lion – Award for Best Director at the 83rd Venice Film Festival. Each market corresponds to a specific director or outcome, with the secondary rule clarifying that neither the Venice Festival nor Kalshi endorses these markets, and any references are purely descriptive.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the Venice Film Festival Silver Lion market dashboard displays real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume of $4,813. This visualization helps traders monitor how market participants price the likelihood of various directors winning the Silver Lion at the Venice Film Festival, with total volume at $10,147.

On Kalshi, this market uses a dynamic odds model where traders buy and sell contracts representing possible outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current pricing reflects collective trader sentiment about who is most likely to win the Silver Lion for Best Director at the Venice Film Festival, adjusted for market liquidity and recent trading activity. Volume of $10,147 and 24-hour volume of $4,813 show how much interest investors have in this prediction. Traders can indicate their views by placing bets, which in turn shifts the implied probabilities.

This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner will be officially announced at the festival ceremony, and the result will match the director awarded the Silver Lion for Best Director that year.

Several signals could shift probabilities in this market before Sep 14, 2026. Major film critic reviews, festival buzz, and early screening reactions often influence trader sentiment. Announcements about last-minute director changes or controversies surrounding entries may also impact pricing. As the festival approaches, updated polling of industry voters and media coverage will likely cause fluctuations. Any surprise withdrawals or additions to the competition could dramatically reshape market expectations, especially with volume at $4,813.