TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Venice Film Festival: Silver Lion – Grand Jury Prize
kalshi

Venice Film Festival: Silver Lion – Grand Jury Prize

Volume:
$10,226

G-Neung-Han Sa_Rang (Possible Love)

 - Kalshi

G-Neung-Han Sa_Rang (Possible Love) - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 12, 2026

Closed: Sep 12, 5:52 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

G-Neung-Han Sa_Rang (Possible Love)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,000
N/A
N/A
$3,355
Settled
Yes
kalshi

NAZA

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,802
N/A
N/A
$1,247
Settled
No
kalshi

Kvinde Ukendt (Woman Unknown)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,436
N/A
N/A
$1,436
Settled
No
kalshi

Wild Horse Nine

0%
41%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$970
N/A
N/A
$945
Settled
No
kalshi

Look Back

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$925
N/A
N/A
$602
Settled
No
kalshi

Primetime

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$431
N/A
N/A
$430
Settled
No
kalshi

Dau

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$219
N/A
N/A
$219
Settled
No
kalshi

Un Bon Petit Soldat

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
$200
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$200
N/A
N/A
$200
Settled
No
kalshi

Ink

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$32
N/A
N/A
$32
Settled
No
kalshi

Bucking Fastard

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
$10
Settled
No
kalshi

Kami Nour (A Bit of Light)

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
No
kalshi

Un peu avant minuit

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
No
kalshi

Company

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Ritorno a Buenos Aires

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Il Fuoco Che Ti Porti Dentro

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

15/18 A Place to Heal

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Succederà questa notte

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

The Echo Chamber

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

L'estranea

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Nelson san, anata ha hito wo koroshimashitaka? (Mr. Nelson, Did You Kill People?)

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Bunker

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 22

Description

The Venice Film Festival awards various prizes to films, with the Silver Lion – Grand Jury Prize being one of its notable recognitions. This event tracks predictions for which film will receive this specific honor at the upcoming festival, reflecting anticipation and analysis within the film community.

Kalshi

Each market specifies a unique film as the potential recipient of the Silver Lion – Grand Jury Prize at the 83rd Venice Film Festival. If the designated film wins the award, the corresponding market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All markets clarify that references to the Venice Festival are purely descriptive and do not imply endorsement or affiliation with the festival. The 'Tie' market resolves to Yes only if the award is shared or no single winner is declared, otherwise it resolves to No. Secondary rules across all markets consistently state that the products and markets are independent of the Venice Festival's official structure or endorsement.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the current probability reflects trader sentiment about the Silver Lion race. Analyst forecasts from industry experts often weigh in after festival screenings and jury announcements. These forecasts can shift dramatically based on early reviews or buzz surrounding specific contenders. Where analyst views differ from market odds, it may signal under- or over-valued perceptions among traders. Tracking both sources together gives a fuller picture of pre-festival expectations and emerging momentum as the ceremony approaches.

This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner of the Grand Jury Prize will be announced at the festival’s awards ceremony, and the result will be cross-checked against official statements and reputable news coverage before settlement.

Several key events could shift probabilities in this market before Sep 14, 2026. Early festival reviews, especially from critics close to the jury, often create waves of buying or selling. Contender dropouts or last-minute substitutions also reshape expectations. Additionally, high-profile advocacy — such as directors or actors publicly endorsing a film — can drive rapid price changes. Traders will watch live festival updates closely, as any surprise announcements typically produce immediate adjustments in market odds.