TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 5:52 PM EST
Kalshi
The Venice Film Festival awards various prizes to films, with the Silver Lion – Grand Jury Prize being one of its notable recognitions. This event tracks predictions for which film will receive this specific honor at the upcoming festival, reflecting anticipation and analysis within the film community.
Each market specifies a unique film as the potential recipient of the Silver Lion – Grand Jury Prize at the 83rd Venice Film Festival. If the designated film wins the award, the corresponding market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. All markets clarify that references to the Venice Festival are purely descriptive and do not imply endorsement or affiliation with the festival. The 'Tie' market resolves to Yes only if the award is shared or no single winner is declared, otherwise it resolves to No. Secondary rules across all markets consistently state that the products and markets are independent of the Venice Festival's official structure or endorsement.
This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner of the Grand Jury Prize will be announced at the festival’s awards ceremony, and the result will be cross-checked against official statements and reputable news coverage before settlement.
Several key events could shift probabilities in this market before Sep 14, 2026. Early festival reviews, especially from critics close to the jury, often create waves of buying or selling. Contender dropouts or last-minute substitutions also reshape expectations. Additionally, high-profile advocacy — such as directors or actors publicly endorsing a film — can drive rapid price changes. Traders will watch live festival updates closely, as any surprise announcements typically produce immediate adjustments in market odds.