TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 5:49 PM EST
Kalshi
The Venice Film Festival is one of the oldest and most prestigious film festivals in the world, held annually in Venice, Italy. Each year, it awards several prizes to films, with the Golden Lion for Best Film being the most coveted honor, recognizing outstanding cinematic achievement among competing entries.
If Company wins the Golden Lion for Best Film at the 83rd Venice Festival , then the market resolves to Yes. If Kami Nour (A Bit of Light) wins the Golden Lion for Best Film at the 83rd Venice Festival , then the market resolves to Yes. If Ritorno a Buenos Aires wins the Golden Lion for Best Film at the 83rd Venice Festival , then the market resolves to Yes. If Ink wins the Golden Lion for Best Film at the 83rd Venice Festival , then the market resolves to Yes. If Un Bon Petit Soldat wins the Golden Lion for Best Film at the 83rd Venice Festival , then the market resolves to Yes. If Il Fuoco Che Ti Porti Dentro wins the Golden Lion for Best Film at the 83rd Venice Festival , then the market resolves to Yes. If Kvinde Ukendt (Woman Unknown) wins the Golden Lion for Best Film at the 83rd Venice Festival , then the market resolves to Yes. If Bucking Fastard wins the Golden Lion for Best Film at the 83rd Venice Festival , then the market resolves to Yes. If 15/18 A Place to Heal wins the Golden Lion for Best Film at the 83rd Venice Festival , then the market resolves to Yes. If Dau wins the Golden Lion for Best Film at the 83rd Venice Festival , then the market resolves to Yes. If Look Back wins the Golden Lion for Best Film at the 83rd Venice Festival , then the market resolves to Yes. If G-Neung-Han Sa_Rang (Possible Love) wins the Golden Lion for Best Film at the 83rd Venice Festival , then the market resolves to Yes. If Wild Horse Nine wins the Golden Lion for Best Film at the 83rd Venice Festival , then the market resolves to Yes. If Succederà questa notte wins the Golden Lion for Best Film at the 83rd Venice Festival , then the market resolves to Yes. If Primetime wins the Golden Lion for Best Film at the 83rd Venice Festival , then the market resolves to Yes. If The Echo Chamber wins the Golden Lion for Best Film at the 83rd Venice Festival , then the market resolves to Yes. If Un peu avant minuit wins the Golden Lion for Best Film at the 83rd Venice Festival , then the market resolves to Yes. If L'estranea wins the Golden Lion for Best Film at the 83rd Venice Festival , then the market resolves to Yes. If Nelson san, anata ha hito wo koroshimashitaka? (Mr. Nelson, Did You Kill People?) wins the Golden Lion for Best Film at the 83rd Venice Festival , then the market resolves to Yes. If Bunker wins the Golden Lion for Best Film at the 83rd Venice Festival , then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie wins the Golden Lion for Best Film at the 83rd Venice Festival , then the market resolves to Yes.
On Kalshi, this market uses trader input to set its current probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The odds reflect collective expectations about which film will claim the top honor at the festival. Volume of $29,601 shows trader interest, while recent $10,260 indicates short-term activity shifts. As the event approaches, early favorites may rise or fall based on buzz and reviews.
This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the festival announces the winner through official ceremonies and credible news outlets. The result is verified against widely reported results, ensuring transparency and alignment with public records of the awards ceremony.
Several signals could shift probabilities before Sep 14, 2026. Key catalysts include festival reviews, jury statements, and media coverage highlighting specific contenders. Strong early reactions from critics or notable absences may also reshape trader sentiment. As the ceremony nears, any last-minute controversies or endorsements might produce sharp movements in this market.