TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
John Malkovich
- Kalshi
John Malkovich - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 12, 2026
Closed: Sep 12, 5:53 PM EST
Kalshi
Description
The Venice Film Festival awards prestigious prizes to recognize outstanding performances in cinema. The Coppa Volpi for Best Actor is one such award, honoring an actor's exceptional contribution to a film featured at the festival.
Kalshi
If Nick Nolte wins the Coppa Volpi for Best Actor at the 83rd Venice Festival , then the market resolves to Yes. If Ben Mendelsohn wins the Coppa Volpi for Best Actor at the 83rd Venice Festival , then the market resolves to Yes. If Scoot McNairy wins the Coppa Volpi for Best Actor at the 83rd Venice Festival , then the market resolves to Yes. If Indiana Affleck wins the Coppa Volpi for Best Actor at the 83rd Venice Festival , then the market resolves to Yes. If Atticus Affleck wins the Coppa Volpi for Best Actor at the 83rd Venice Festival , then the market resolves to Yes. If Missagh Zareh wins the Coppa Volpi for Best Actor at the 83rd Venice Festival , then the market resolves to Yes. If Ramtin Daghigh wins the Coppa Volpi for Best Actor at the 83rd Venice Festival , then the market resolves to Yes. If Adriano Giannini wins the Coppa Volpi for Best Actor at the 83rd Venice Festival , then the market resolves to Yes. If Adrián Fondari wins the Coppa Volpi for Best Actor at the 83rd Venice Festival , then the market resolves to Yes. If Marcelo Chaparro wins the Coppa Volpi for Best Actor at the 83rd Venice Festival , then the market resolves to Yes. If Jack O’Connell wins the Coppa Volpi for Best Actor at the 83rd Venice Festival , then the market resolves to Yes. If Guy Pearce wins the Coppa Volpi for Best Actor at the 83rd Venice Festival , then the market resolves to Yes. If Vincent Lindon wins the Coppa Volpi for Best Actor at the 83rd Venice Festival , then the market resolves to Yes. If David Talbot wins the Coppa Volpi for Best Actor at the 83rd Venice Festival , then the market resolves to Yes. If Sharif Andoura wins the Coppa Volpi for Best Actor at the 83rd Venice Festival , then the market resolves to Yes. If Lino Musella wins the Coppa Volpi for Best Actor at the 83rd Venice Festival , then the market resolves to Yes. If Tommaso Ragno wins the Coppa Volpi for Best Actor at the 83rd Venice Festival , then the market resolves to Yes. If Carsten Bjørnlund wins the Coppa Volpi for Best Actor at the 83rd Venice Festival , then the market resolves to Yes. If Thorbjørn Hedegaard wins the Coppa Volpi for Best Actor at the 83rd Venice Festival , then the market resolves to Yes. If Orlando Bloom wins the Coppa Volpi for Best Actor at the 83rd Venice Festival , then the market resolves to Yes. If Domhnall Gleeson wins the Coppa Volpi for Best Actor at the 83rd Venice Festival , then the market resolves to Yes. If Kenji Peyran wins the Coppa Volpi for Best Actor at the 83rd Venice Festival , then the market resolves to Yes. If Raphaël Besson wins the Coppa Volpi for Best Actor at the 83rd Venice Festival , then the market resolves to Yes. If Teodor Currentzis wins the Coppa Volpi for Best Actor at the 83rd Venice Festival , then the market resolves to Yes. If Anatoly Vasiliev wins the Coppa Volpi for Best Actor at the 83rd Venice Festival , then the market resolves to Yes. If Masaki Suda wins the Coppa Volpi for Best Actor at the 83rd Venice Festival , then the market resolves to Yes. If Kankuro Kudo wins the Coppa Volpi for Best Actor at the 83rd Venice Festival , then the market resolves to Yes. If Sul Kyung-gu wins the Coppa Volpi for Best Actor at the 83rd Venice Festival , then the market resolves to Yes. If Zo In-sung wins the Coppa Volpi for Best Actor at the 83rd Venice Festival , then the market resolves to Yes. If John Malkovich wins the Coppa Volpi for Best Actor at the 83rd Venice Festival , then the market resolves to Yes. If Sam Rockwell wins the Coppa Volpi for Best Actor at the 83rd Venice Festival , then the market resolves to Yes. If Steve Buscemi wins the Coppa Volpi for Best Actor at the 83rd Venice Festival , then the market resolves to Yes. If Tom Waits wins the Coppa Volpi for Best Actor at the 83rd Venice Festival , then the market resolves to Yes. If Louis Garrel wins the Coppa Volpi for Best Actor at the 83rd Venice Festival , then the market resolves to Yes. If Hippolyte Girardot wins the Coppa Volpi for Best Actor at the 83rd Venice Festival , then the market resolves to Yes. If Andrea Lattanzi wins the Coppa Volpi for Best Actor at the 83rd Venice Festival , then the market resolves to Yes. If Antonio De Matteo wins the Coppa Volpi for Best Actor at the 83rd Venice Festival , then the market resolves to Yes. If Nanni Moretti wins the Coppa Volpi for Best Actor at the 83rd Venice Festival , then the market resolves to Yes. If Robert Pattinson wins the Coppa Volpi for Best Actor at the 83rd Venice Festival , then the market resolves to Yes. If Luca Marinelli wins the Coppa Volpi for Best Actor at the 83rd Venice Festival , then the market resolves to Yes. If Melvil Poupaud wins the Coppa Volpi for Best Actor at the 83rd Venice Festival , then the market resolves to Yes. If Micha Lescot wins the Coppa Volpi for Best Actor at the 83rd Venice Festival , then the market resolves to Yes. If Rodney Hicks wins the Coppa Volpi for Best Actor at the 83rd Venice Festival , then the market resolves to Yes. If Geoffrey Rush wins the Coppa Volpi for Best Actor at the 83rd Venice Festival , then the market resolves to Yes. If Mark Merphy wins the Coppa Volpi for Best Actor at the 83rd Venice Festival , then the market resolves to Yes. If Lily Franky wins the Coppa Volpi for Best Actor at the 83rd Venice Festival , then the market resolves to Yes. If Javier Bardem wins the Coppa Volpi for Best Actor at the 83rd Venice Festival , then the market resolves to Yes. If Stephen Graham wins the Coppa Volpi for Best Actor at the 83rd Venice Festival , then the market resolves to Yes. If Paul Dano wins the Coppa Volpi for Best Actor at the 83rd Venice Festival , then the market resolves to Yes. If Patrick Schwarzenegger wins the Coppa Volpi for Best Actor at the 83rd Venice Festival , then the market resolves to Yes.
Frequently asked questions
Compared to analyst forecasts, this market often reflects a more nuanced view shaped by real-time trading activity. While critics and industry insiders may highlight early favorites, traders on Kalshi adjust odds based on emerging buzz, performance reviews, and last-minute surprises from the festival circuit. This can lead to shifts away from traditional predictions, especially when unexpected contenders gain momentum or established stars face stiff competition.
This market resolves around Sep 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner will be announced at the Venice Film Festival ceremony, and the result will be cross-checked against authoritative news outlets and official festival records to ensure accuracy before final settlement on Kalshi.
Key signals that could shift this market include early festival reviews, press coverage after screenings, and any last-minute announcements about jury preferences or contender withdrawals. Social media buzz, interviews with directors or actors, and unexpected controversies or performance scandals often drive rapid changes in trader sentiment, causing odds to fluctuate dramatically in the final weeks before the ceremony.
