TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 23, 2:31 PM EST
Kalshi
This event group covers the Venezia vs Lecce Serie A soccer match scheduled for August 23, 2026. It includes markets for match outcomes and spread-based resolutions across different platforms.
The market resolves based on the goal difference in the Venezia vs Lecce professional Serie A soccer game scheduled for August 23, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Outcomes include Venezia winning by more than 2.5 goals, Venezia winning by more than 1.5 goals, Lecce winning by more than 1.5 goals, or Lecce winning by more than 2.5 goals. If the actual result meets the condition for a given market, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
This market refers to the Serie A match between Venezia (VEN) and Lecce (LEC), scheduled for 2026-08-23 16:30 UTC. - VEN: If Venezia wins, the outcome is settled as "Yes"; otherwise "No". - DRAW: If the match ends in a draw, the outcome is "Yes". - LEC: If Lecce wins, the outcome is "Yes"; otherwise "No". Settlement will be based on the result at the end of regular time (90 minutes) plus stoppage time. If the match is postponed, this market will remain open until the match is played and completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, the DRAW option will resolve to "Yes", while both VEN and LEC options will resolve to "No". The primary settlement source will be the official result published by Serie A. If the governing body or event organizers have not published the final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus from credible sources may be used instead. Note: Opinion will resolve strictly based on the first officially published result from the designated source. Any subsequent revisions will not affect this resolution. Source: https://www.legaseriea.it/
Prediction market odds on this market often reflect a different risk assessment than traditional sportsbook lines. While sportsbooks may set a fixed spread based on historical data and public betting patterns, prediction markets adjust dynamically based on real-time trader sentiment and new information. This can lead to tighter spreads or sharper movements as the match nears, especially if key player updates or weather conditions emerge.
On Kalshi and Opinion, pricing models and user bases vary, creating divergence. Kalshi and Opinion can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For this market, differences in liquidity, fee structures, and participant behavior can push prices apart. Each platform’s unique pool of traders may weigh recent team news or historical matchups differently, leading to distinct implied probabilities. Additionally, platform-specific tools or display formats might highlight different data points, further influencing how users interpret and trade this market.