TOTAL VOLUME:
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OPEN INTEREST:
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400,720
Markets across
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MATCHED EVENTS:
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PLATFORM COVERAGE:
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Kalshi:
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Closed: Sep 11, 3:30 PM EST
Kalshi
For the Serie A fixture featuring Venezia against Fiorentina, this event determines if each team scores a goal at some point in the match's regular 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, with extra time and penalties not considered.
If Venezia and Fiorentina both score a goal in the Venezia vs Fiorentina Serie A match originally scheduled for Sep 11, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a smaller team of experts, while this market benefits from the input of many participants. It is common to see discrepancies between the two, as each operates with different information and biases. Comparing the implied probability from Kalshi to sportsbook offerings can reveal where the crowd believes there is value or mispricing in the odds.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the probability of both teams scoring. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing a 0% to 100% chance of the event occurring. As more people buy contracts, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the aggregated sentiment of all traders on the platform, providing a real-time assessment of the likelihood of a 'Yes' outcome.
This market resolves around Sep 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether both Venezia and Fiorentina score at least one goal during regular play in the match. Any extra time or penalty shootouts will not be considered. The final result will be determined by official match data and verified against credible public sources to ensure accuracy and fairness.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Venezia or Fiorentina would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect the style of play, could also move the market. Additionally, any significant tactical announcements from either manager, or shifts in public sentiment based on pre-match analysis, could lead to increased trading activity and price fluctuations.