TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.7b
24H VOL:
$229,178,007
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,069,390
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,336,753,738
577,196
Markets across
14,485
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,077
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a professional Serie B soccer match between Venezia FC and US Avellino 1912 scheduled for March 3, 2026. Three markets track the outcome: Venezia win, draw, and Avellino win. Resolution is based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Cancellation resolution logic differs between the draw market and the two win markets. The draw market resolves Yes on full cancellation, while win markets resolve No on the same event.Hero Tip:
If the match is canceled with no make-up game, the draw market will resolve Yes while Venezia win and Avellino win markets will resolve No. This creates a profitable arbitrage opportunity if cancellation occurs. Monitor official Serie B communications for postponement vs. cancellation status.Critical Divergence Points:
Polymarket:
Three separate markets with inconsistent cancellation logic. Venezia win market: cancellation resolves No. Draw market: cancellation resolves Yes. Avellino win market: cancellation resolves No. Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "Yes"' (draw only).Kalshi:
Single combined market covering all three outcomes (Venezia win, Tie, Avellino win). No explicit cancellation clause provided; standard sports market convention would treat cancellation as No resolution for all outcomes. No cancellation language in provided description.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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