TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 11, 4:59 PM EST
Polymarket
This group contains a comprehensive set of markets related to the Venezia FC vs. ACF Fiorentina Serie A match, covering spreads, over/under goals, and both teams to score scenarios for the full game and first/second halves. The markets are designed to predict various aspects of the match outcome.
More markets for the Serie A game, scheduled for September 11 at 2:45 PM ET.
More markets for the Serie A game, scheduled for September 11 at 2:45 PM ET.
Prediction market odds, such as those found on Polymarket and Predict, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the nature of how they are determined. Sportsbooks set odds based on their internal models and aim to profit from the spread, while prediction markets rely on the collective intelligence of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This market’s odds reflect real-time sentiment and can sometimes be more accurate, particularly as more information becomes available. The volume of $290,255 traded also suggests a level of confidence in the predictions being made, which may not always be present in sportsbook pricing.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Predict can diverge for several reasons, even when tracking the same event like the Venezia vs Fiorentina match. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and access to information. Trading fees and platform-specific rules also contribute to price discrepancies. Furthermore, the liquidity – or volume – on each platform can influence price discovery; lower volume may lead to greater price volatility. These factors combine to create independent price signals, even though both venues are ultimately assessing the same underlying probabilities.