TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 11, 5:03 PM EST
Polymarket
This group forecasts which team will score the first goal in a soccer match between Venezia FC and ACF Fiorentina. The market considers goals scored within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shoot-outs. If neither team scores, the market resolves to 'Neither'.
In the upcoming match between Venezia FC and ACF Fiorentina, scheduled for September 11, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Venezia FC" if Venezia FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "ACF Fiorentina" if ACF Fiorentina are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming match between Venezia FC and ACF Fiorentina, scheduled for September 11, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Venezia FC" if Venezia FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "ACF Fiorentina" if ACF Fiorentina are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds, such as those found in this market, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to profit from the spread, while prediction markets aggregate individual beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly diverges from the sportsbook's initial assessment. The difference between the implied probability in this market and sportsbook odds can sometimes indicate opportunities for arbitrage, though transaction fees and platform limitations should be considered.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Price discrepancies between Polymarket and Predict for the Venezia vs. Fiorentina first-to-score market can arise from several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying risk appetites and information access. Trading volume, while currently at $4,888 overall, may be concentrated on one platform, influencing price discovery. Furthermore, differing liquidity and market-making activity can lead to temporary imbalances. These platforms operate independently, and their prices reflect the unique dynamics of their respective trader communities and the information they prioritize.