TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 9:35 PM EST
Kalshi
Two soccer teams compete in a match where the total number of goals scored determines the outcome. The first market considers whether at least one goal is scored, reflecting the possibility of a scoreless game. The second market examines if the combined goals exceed one, indicating a modestly high-scoring match.
All markets resolve based on the total goals scored in the Venados vs Tepatitlan professional Liga de Expansion MX soccer game scheduled for September 12, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Each market has a specific threshold: over 0.5 goals, over 1.5 goals, over 2.5 goals, over 3.5 goals, over 4.5 goals, or over 5.5 goals. If the actual total goals meet or exceed the threshold for a given market, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, which can differ from sportsbook odds that are initially set by professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting percentages and risk management into their lines, while this market relies on individuals forecasting the likely outcome. Historically, prediction markets have demonstrated accuracy in forecasting event outcomes, sometimes outperforming traditional polls and expert analyses. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially as new information emerges leading up to the event.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes for the total goals scored in the Venados vs Tepatitlan match. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its predictions accordingly.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of goals scored in the Venados vs Tepatitlan match will be used to determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on official match data, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome. Traders holding the contract corresponding to the actual total goals scored will receive a payout, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Venados or Tepatitlan would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, such as heavy rain, could also impact the expected goal total. Unexpected lineup announcements or tactical changes revealed before the game could also shift market sentiment. Furthermore, any significant pre-match analysis from reputable sports commentators or analysts could influence traders’ perceptions and drive price fluctuations.