TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 9:05 PM EST
Kalshi
The match between Venados and Atletico Morelia will resolve multiple markets based on the total number of goals scored after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of goals, and the outcome depends on whether the actual total exceeds that threshold.
All markets resolve based on the total goals scored in the Venados vs Atletico Morelia professional Liga de Expansion MX soccer game scheduled for Sep 26, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Each market has a specific threshold (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals), and the market resolves to Yes if the total goals exceed the respective threshold. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the Governing League, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a 'wisdom of the crowd' perspective, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective beliefs of traders. If a significant discrepancy exists between the implied probabilities in this market and sportsbook odds, it could indicate differing opinions on the likely outcome of the Venados vs Morelia match. It’s worth noting that prediction markets can sometimes be more accurate than traditional forecasts.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes for the Venados vs Morelia match. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for a real-time assessment of expectations surrounding the total goals scored.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the Venados vs Morelia match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of goals scored in the official match will determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on the official match statistics, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome for all participants in this market. Traders should monitor official sources for the final result to understand the resolution of their contracts.
Several factors could influence the price movement in this market before Sep 27, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either the Venados or Atletico Morelia could significantly shift expectations. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact scoring, could also play a role. Furthermore, any updates on team formations or tactical approaches revealed before the match might influence traders’ assessments of the likely total goals scored. Even general shifts in public sentiment or betting trends could contribute to price fluctuations.