TOTAL VOLUME:
$53.9b
24H VOL:
$231,847,320
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,314,157,835
499,417
Markets across
14,310
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,754
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
VCU Rams vs. Duquesne Dukes (W)
Volume:
$9,826
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a women's college basketball game between VCU Rams and Duquesne Dukes scheduled for February 21, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET. Markets on Polymarket and Kalshi are structured to resolve based on the final outcome of this matchup.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market contains a logical contradiction where both possible game outcomes (VCU win or Duquesne win) are mapped to the same resolution state (Yes), rendering the market fundamentally unresolvable as a binary prediction instrument.Hero Tip:
Trade only on Polymarket for this matchup. Kalshi's market structure is broken and will resolve to Yes regardless of which team wins, eliminating all predictive value and directional risk. Do not risk capital on Kalshi until the resolution logic is corrected by the platform.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Standard binary winner-take-all structure. Resolves to 'VCU Rams' if VCU wins, 'Duquesne Dukes' if Duquesne wins. Postponement keeps market open; cancellation without makeup resolves 50-50. Final score includes overtime.
- Kalshi: Logically incoherent: both VCU win and Duquesne win conditions resolve to Yes. This creates a tautology where the market resolves to Yes regardless of game outcome, violating binary market logic.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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