TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 22, 10:50 AM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the volleyball match between VC Dresden and TSV Grafing in the 2. Bundesliga, originally scheduled for September 12 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "VC Dresden" if VC Dresden wins the match. It will resolve to "TSV Grafing" if TSV Grafing wins the match. If a team withdraws, forfeits, is defaulted, or is disqualified after the match begins, this market will resolve in favor of the team officially credited with the win. If the match begins but is not completed and no winner is officially declared, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match does not begin for any reason — including cancellation, pre-match withdrawal, walkover, or forfeit before play begins — or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Volleyball Bundesliga results.
This market refers to the volleyball match between VC Dresden and TSV Grafing in the 2. Bundesliga, originally scheduled for September 12 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "VC Dresden" if VC Dresden wins the match. It will resolve to "TSV Grafing" if TSV Grafing wins the match. If a team withdraws, forfeits, is defaulted, or is disqualified after the match begins, this market will resolve in favor of the team officially credited with the win. If the match begins but is not completed and no winner is officially declared, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match does not begin for any reason — including cancellation, pre-match withdrawal, walkover, or forfeit before play begins — or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Volleyball Bundesliga results.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to continuously adjust probabilities based on new information and their own analysis. If there's a significant discrepancy, it might suggest that the market believes a sportsbook has mispriced the event. Examining these differences can be a valuable exercise for informed decision-making, though it's important to remember that both represent probabilities, not guarantees.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price fluctuates, providing a real-time assessment of the event's likelihood. The market's efficiency depends on the volume of trading and the diversity of opinions represented among participants.
This market resolves around Sep 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on the official result of the VC Dresden vs. TSV Grafing match, as reported by a recognized sports authority. The platform will then determine the winning outcome and distribute payouts accordingly. It's important to note that the resolution process relies on publicly available information to ensure a fair and transparent outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 19, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, or changes in coaching staff could significantly shift trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on the day of the match, or even pre-match analysis from sports commentators, might also play a role. Major upsets in related matches or broader trends in the league could also contribute to price movements, as traders constantly reassess the probabilities based on new information and insights.