TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 5:20 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the specific round in which either Vanessa Demopoulos or Yazmin Jauregui secures a decisive victory in their scheduled UFC Fight Night bout. Outcomes include wins by knockout, technical knockout, submission, disqualification in any of the first three rounds, as well as decisions, draws, or no contests across the full fight duration.
The event determines whether Vanessa Demopoulos or Yazmin Jauregui achieves a definitive victory—via knockout (KO), technical knockout (TKO), submission, or disqualification—in any of the first three rounds of their scheduled UFC Fight Night match on September 26, 2026, or if the fight concludes by decision, draw, or no contest over its full duration. A technical decision is explicitly treated as a decision for settlement purposes and does not count toward a round-specific win. Each market corresponds to a particular outcome category: specific round victories for each fighter by the defined decisive means, or a broad outcome encompassing decisions, draws, or no contests regardless of round. The markets collectively cover all possible conclusive results of the contest, with clear distinctions between round-specific decisive wins and overall fight conclusions that do not fall into the decisive round categories.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Demopoulos vs. Jauregui fight, and the prices of these contracts determine the implied probabilities. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective belief about the likelihood of each outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market price for a contract represents the cost to own one unit of that outcome, and it fluctuates based on supply and demand. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its predictions.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Demopoulos vs. Jauregui fight, as determined by the relevant athletic commission or governing body. This includes the method of victory (knockout, decision, submission, etc.) or if the fight ends in a draw or no contest. The platform will then verify the outcome against these sources to determine which contracts will pay out and at what value.
Several signals could significantly influence this market before Sep 27, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to either fighter, changes in their training regimens, or updates on their physical condition would likely cause price fluctuations. Public statements from the fighters or their coaches, particularly regarding strategy or confidence levels, could also impact trading activity. Additionally, any shifts in public sentiment, perhaps reflected in social media discussions or expert analysis, could move the market as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions about the Demopoulos vs. Jauregui fight.