TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 4:49 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on predicting which team will score the first touchdown in an upcoming college football game. It includes scenarios where either team scores first or if no touchdown is scored at all during the game, including overtime periods. The outcome depends purely on the game's live progression and scoring events.
The market determines which team scores the first touchdown in the Vanderbilt vs. Auburn college football game scheduled for September 26, 2026, with three possible outcomes: Auburn scores first, Vanderbilt scores first, or no team scores a touchdown. All touchdowns—offensive, defensive, or special teams—count towards the result, including those scored in overtime. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains active and resolves based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi clarifies that it is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance betting action, while this market allows traders to freely adjust prices based on their own analysis and information. If a significant number of traders believe a team is more likely to score first than sportsbooks indicate, the price for that outcome will decrease, representing a higher implied probability. This dynamic pricing can sometimes lead to more accurate predictions than those offered by sportsbooks alone.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome – in this case, Vanderbilt or Auburn scoring the first touchdown. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices will fluctuate, providing a real-time assessment of which team is favored to score first. The market depth shows the available contracts at different price points, indicating the level of demand and supply.
This market resolves around Sep 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be determined by identifying which team scores the first touchdown in the Vanderbilt versus Auburn football game. The official game statistics and play-by-play data will serve as the basis for verifying the outcome. The market will then settle, and traders who correctly predicted the first team to score will receive a payout based on the final contract price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price movement in this market. Injury reports for key offensive players on either Vanderbilt or Auburn would certainly have an impact, as would any changes in weather forecasts that could affect the game's style of play. Significant news regarding coaching strategies or team morale could also shift trader sentiment. Finally, as the game approaches, any public statements from analysts or players expressing confidence in their team's ability to score early could also contribute to price fluctuations in this market.