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399,592
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Kalshi:
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Closed: Sep 26, 6:49 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks which team will lead after the third quarter of a college football game between Vanderbilt and Auburn. It focuses solely on the scoring during that specific quarter, ignoring the overall game result. The outcome depends entirely on which team has more points at the end of the third quarter.
The market resolves based on which team scores more points during the third quarter of the Vanderbilt vs Auburn college football game scheduled for September 26, 2026. If Auburn scores more points in that quarter, the 'Auburn wins 3rd Quarter' market resolves to Yes. If Vanderbilt scores more points, the 'Vanderbilt wins 3rd Quarter' market resolves to Yes. If both teams score the same number of points, the 'Tie 3rd Quarter' market resolves to Yes. For all markets, only points scored during the third quarter count. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open and resolves based on the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which may be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook odds, it could indicate that prediction market participants believe the sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular outcome. It's common to see convergence as the event approaches, with both reflecting updated information.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each outcome. The price of a contract directly reflects the market’s assessment of that outcome’s likelihood. As more traders buy contracts for a specific team, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived probability of them winning the third quarter. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and order flow provide insights into the strength of conviction behind different predictions, and traders can adjust their positions based on new information or changing sentiment.
This market resolves around Sep 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The team leading at the end of the third quarter of the Vanderbilt versus Auburn football game will be declared the winner for the purposes of this market. Resolution will be based on the official game results as reported by a trusted sports data provider. Any adjustments or corrections to the official results will be reflected in the final outcome of this market.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. News regarding key player injuries for either Vanderbilt or Auburn would likely cause price adjustments, as would any changes in weather forecasts that could impact the game. Unexpected coaching decisions or shifts in team strategy announced before the game could also move the market. Furthermore, as the game progresses, real-time updates on scoring, turnovers, and penalties will all contribute to price fluctuations in this market, reflecting the evolving probabilities of each team winning the third quarter.