TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 5:58 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance difference between Vanderbilt and Auburn specifically during the second quarter of their college football game. It focuses solely on how much one team outscores the other in that particular quarter, without considering the final game result.
All markets resolve based exclusively on points scored during the second quarter of play in the Vanderbilt vs Auburn college football game scheduled for September 26, 2026. Each market has a specific point differential threshold that must be exceeded by either Auburn or Vanderbilt to resolve as 'Yes'. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the markets remain open and resolve based on the official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of game timing uncertainties.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often aligning closely with sportsbook odds but sometimes diverging based on unique information or perspectives held by traders. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own modeling and risk management, while this market is driven by individuals buying and selling contracts based on their own beliefs. Any differences between the two can present potential opportunities for arbitrage, though it is important to note that prediction markets often incorporate information more quickly than traditional sportsbooks.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the Vanderbilt-Auburn 2nd quarter. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as they profit if their predictions are correct and lose if they are wrong. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to create a market that accurately reflects the collective intelligence of those trading it.
This market resolves around Sep 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the second quarter of the Vanderbilt versus Auburn football game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the game’s governing body. Traders holding contracts on the correct spread will receive a payout of 100 cents per contract, while those holding contracts on incorrect spreads will receive nothing. The final result will be publicly available following the conclusion of the game.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Vanderbilt or Auburn teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable to one team’s playing style, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, any late-breaking news related to team strategy or coaching decisions could shift market sentiment. Public perception and analysis from sports commentators can also contribute to price fluctuations in this market.