TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 26, 7:44 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track how much either team wins by in the second half of a college football game, focusing solely on points scored after halftime. Each market has a different threshold for the winning margin needed to settle the outcome.
All markets resolve based on the point differential in the second half (including overtime) of the Vanderbilt vs Auburn college football game scheduled for September 26, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific point threshold—ranging from over 2.5 to over 23.5 points—that Auburn or Vanderbilt must exceed to win. Only points scored after halftime count toward the resolution. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original kickoff time, it remains active and resolves based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, all markets resolve to a fair price. The markets cover varying margins of victory for both teams, allowing participants to speculate on different levels of dominance in the second half.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk management, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Often, prediction markets can be more accurate than traditional odds, particularly when accounting for factors not explicitly modeled by sportsbooks. Examining both can provide a more comprehensive view of the likely outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether the Vanderbilt-Auburn second half spread will be above or below a certain value. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective expectation of all participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This means the price isn't fixed but dynamically adjusts as traders exchange positions, creating a real-time assessment of probability. As more traders participate, the price tends to converge towards a more accurate prediction.
This market resolves around Sep 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final second half spread of the Vanderbilt-Auburn game will be used to determine which contracts payout. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics as reported by a trusted source. Traders holding contracts on the correct side of the spread will receive a payout, while those on the incorrect side will forfeit their investment. The market’s resolution is designed to be objective and transparent.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Vanderbilt or Auburn teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable to one team’s style of play, could also shift the odds. Unexpected coaching decisions or strategic adjustments announced before the game could also impact trader sentiment. Finally, large volume trades on Kalshi itself can create momentum and influence the price of the Vanderbilt-Auburn second half spread.