TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 1:06 AM EST
Polymarket
This prediction market asks which team will score the first goal in a soccer match between Vancouver Whitecaps FC and D.C. United SC. The market also includes an option for 'Neither' if no goal is scored within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
In the upcoming match between Vancouver Whitecaps FC and D.C. United SC, scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 10:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Vancouver Whitecaps FC" if Vancouver Whitecaps FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "D.C. United SC" if D.C. United SC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Vancouver Whitecaps FC and D.C. United SC, scheduled for September 26, 2026 at 10:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Vancouver Whitecaps FC" if Vancouver Whitecaps FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "D.C. United SC" if D.C. United SC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds, like those found for this market, often reflect a different kind of wisdom than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of many individuals, creating a “wisdom of the crowd” effect. This can lead to differences in probabilities, as prediction markets are less susceptible to biases inherent in sportsbook modeling. The volume of $116 in this market suggests a degree of interest and informed speculation, potentially offering insights beyond those found in conventional betting lines. It's important to compare both to gain a well-rounded perspective.
Differences in prices between Polymarket and Predict on this market can arise from several factors. Each platform has a different user base with varying levels of expertise and access to information regarding the Whitecaps and D.C. United. Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Furthermore, the liquidity – or trading volume – differs between the platforms; Polymarket currently has a 24-hour volume of $116, while Predict’s volume is lower. These variations in participation and trading activity can lead to discrepancies in the perceived probabilities of each team scoring first. The differing incentives and user demographics on each platform also contribute to these price divergences.